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Should I ship a Conspiracy Character Customization game?
Character Customization + Conspiracy
Only 12 developers shipped a Conspiracy Character Customization game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ZERO PARADES: For Dead Spies, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $3.4M, ×5561 the market median. Revenue is up 1685% on the market; 34 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $899 (exactly $899) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) |
| Top 25% | $19k (exactly $19,337) |
| Top 5% | $3.5M (exactly $3,492,327) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1685% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Character Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Conspiracy
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Character Customization
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 3,510 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Character Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Football (American)Strong odds
- + Real-TimeStrong odds
- + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair
- + TransportationFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + BikesFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + TypingFair
Comparable games
ZERO PARADES: For Dead Spies 2026 · $3.5M 
侠落：百花杀尽 2026 · $192k 
A Day Out 2024 · $182k 
Tortured Hearts - Or How I Saved The Universe. Again. 2021 · $22k 
Trust No Bunny 2023 · $20k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ZERO PARADES: For Dead Spies | $39.99 | 2,911 83% | 87k | $3.5M (exactly $3,492,327) | ZA/UM | |
| | 侠落：百花杀尽 | $12.99 | 493 70% | 15k | $192k (exactly $192,122) | 上海江湖逸客信息技术有限公司 | |
| | A Day Out | older | $9.99 | 607 76% | 18k | $182k (exactly $181,918) | KevTheDev, gamesbychris |
| | Tortured Hearts - Or How I Saved The Universe. Again. | older | $24.99 | 30 83% | 900 | $22k (exactly $22,491) | Teleport Games |
| | Trust No Bunny | older | $5.99 | 109 93% | 3.3k | $20k (exactly $19,587) | Friendly Pixel, Inc. |
 | Cyberscape | $14.99 | 43 93% | 1.3k | $19k (exactly $19,337) | AtomicTorch Studio | |
 | Acolyte | older | $10.99 | 55 74% | 1.7k | $18k (exactly $18,134) | Superstring |
 | [Neolithic]To the End | · EA older | $6.99 | 28 82% | 840 | $5.9k (exactly $5,872) | orochi2k |
 | My Liege | $9.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | SugoiPenguin Gaming | |
 | Noblesse Oblige | older | $4.99 | 27 85% | 810 | $4.0k (exactly $4,042) | Choice of Games |
 | Paw Paw Destiny | $14.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $3.1k (exactly $3,148) | Daiyu.studio | |
 | Lhama Clicker | $4.99 | 13 69% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Clicker | |
 | Bad Goys | $4.99 | 11 72% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Silvercrest Studios | |
 | Legacy of Ancestors | · EA | $6.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | 命运测试 |
 | Through the Edges | $9.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | Bizi Games | |
 | The World Ends in Ohio | $3.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | PDS Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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