Do I ship it?

GamesRunnerRunner + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Runner?

Runner + Cats

Of 27 developers who shipped a Cat Runner in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 16 developers shipped in the last year and 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 23 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Runner + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $838 → $299 → $119 → $299 → $119 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Runner + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $238 (exactly $238)
Top 25% $657 (exactly $657)
Top 5% $39k (exactly $39,371)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 63
Announced 23
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Runner; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Platformer
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $5.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $5.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 603 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $240, 1 in 4 over $650, 1 in 20 over $39k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Runner with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 10 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced
  3. + PsychologicalFair14 devs · median $839 · 12 announced
  4. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $838 · 8 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair12 devs · median $750 · 11 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair15 devs · median $599 · 10 announced
  7. + FPSLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  8. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds12 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  9. + MusicPoor odds16 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds38 devs · median $1.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $898 · 64 announced
  12. + Interactive FictionPoor odds10 devs · median $839 · 16 announced

All 123 pairs on the Runner page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
StrikeForce Kitty older $9.99 1,002 89% 30k $300k (exactly $300,299) Creepy Brothers
The Cat Games older $1.99 855 89% 26k $51k (exactly $51,044) M. Hanka
NiuMa $5.99 263 91% 7.9k $47k (exactly $47,261) Game Star
Sushi Cat Legacy Collection $4.99 263 95% 7.9k $39k (exactly $39,371) Armor Games Studios
Jones On Fire older $2.99 89 80% 2.7k $8.0k (exactly $7,983) Glass Bottom Games
WonderCat Adventures older $3.99 46 76% 1.4k $5.5k (exactly $5,506) Obscure Cloud
Demon Go! older $2.99 39 89% 1.2k $3.5k (exactly $3,498) Artifact
Jumping Cat older $2.99 39 69% 1.2k $3.5k (exactly $3,498) Simple Touch
BOMCAT $5.99 18 100% 540 $3.2k (exactly $3,235) TANZI GAMES
Meowmories $5.99 15 60% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) Team Memolink
Hirai Nya $3.99 17 94% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) FirePillar2
Raining Cats and Dogs $5.99 10 80% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) JustJeff
Sweet Escape $1.99 11 36% 330 $657 (exactly $657) King Kong
FastCato $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Dominik Palenik
Nocto And The Ray Of Light $13.99 1 0% 30 $420 (exactly $420) Spacefarer Retro Remasters LLC
Zodiac Revenger $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Backwards Art

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.