Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat FPS?

FPS + Cats

Only 11 developers shipped a Cat FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, CatboyZOOM, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $28k, ×19 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 13 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 13 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $17k → $5.7k → $24k → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $4.4k (exactly $4,396)
Top 5% $28k (exactly $28,472)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 36
Announced 13
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 625 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $28k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
In Sound Mind older $34.99 5,467 95% 164k $5.7M (exactly $5,738,710) We Create Stuff
Miss Neko 3 older $2.99 4,470 92% 134k $401k (exactly $400,959) Double W
Sakura Hime older $3.99 1,336 92% 40k $160k (exactly $159,919) GirlGames
Miss Neko 2 older $1.99 2,608 91% 78k $156k (exactly $155,698) Double W
Sakura Hime 2 older $3.99 824 92% 25k $99k (exactly $98,633) GirlGames
Sakura Hime 3 older $3.99 532 95% 16k $64k (exactly $63,680) GirlGames
Sakura Hime 4 older $3.99 266 93% 8.0k $32k (exactly $31,840) GirlGames
CatboyZOOM · EA $9.99 95 97% 2.9k $28k (exactly $28,472) Ethan Vuong, Brae Stoltz
Elf World Adventure: Part 1 older $1.99 467 82% 14k $28k (exactly $27,880) White Panda Studio, 430Games
Sakura Hime 5 $3.99 201 93% 6.0k $24k (exactly $24,060) GirlGames
Sakura Hime 6 $3.99 69 92% 2.1k $8.3k (exactly $8,259) GirlGames
Catboy Aim Trainer · EA $0.99 148 93% 4.4k $4.4k (exactly $4,396) Pantsu Productions
Sweet Delights: The Girl’s Cafe Quest $1.99 33 84% 990 $2.0k (exactly $1,970) Anime Aqua Games
NEON $0.99 61 37% 1.8k $1.8k (exactly $1,812) Logna Blue
Augmented Fear $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) OneFurInTheBox
John Parkour $2.99 9 100% 270 $807 (exactly $807) HOLYPERSON
They Not Fae! $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Malerouille
Jinmengyo $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) ryuukyuushi

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.