Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Collectathon game?

Collectathon + Cats

Of 105 developers who shipped a Cat Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 135 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×297 the market median. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 135 games are announced against 65 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 120% on the market, 135 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 105
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.7k → $2.6k → $7.0k → $2.7k → $1.4k → $1.4k → $1.5k (still earning) → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 105
Bottom 30% $538 (exactly $538)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,731)
Top 5% $141k (exactly $140,988)
Developers, 2 yr 105
Released games 393
Announced 135
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $1.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Hidden Object
Price point
$1.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Relaxing, Cozy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $1.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 5,636 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 7 in 10 of the 124 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 135 games are announced against 65 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
New Super Lucky's Tale older $29.99 678 94% 20k $610k (exactly $609,997) Playful Corp.
A Castle Full of Cats older $3.99 4,073 99% 122k $488k (exactly $487,538) Devcats
Bubsy 4D $19.99 777 92% 23k $466k (exactly $465,967) Fabraz
Find Matt's Cats $19.99 719 98% 22k $431k (exactly $431,184) Matt Roszak
A Tower Full of Cats older $5.99 2,304 99% 69k $414k (exactly $414,029) Devcats
A Building Full of Cats older $2.99 4,103 98% 123k $368k (exactly $368,039) Devcats
A Building Full of Cats 2 $6.99 1,145 97% 34k $240k (exactly $240,106) Devcats
Super Chipflake Ü: Quest for the Uncooked Schnitzel $19.99 395 96% 12k $237k (exactly $236,881) SalsaShark Studios
Captain Whiskers: Incremental Seas $5.99 886 85% 27k $159k (exactly $159,214) Happy Universe Studios
Cats in Time older $4.99 1,053 96% 32k $158k (exactly $157,634) Pine Studio
Gacha Capsule Shop Simulator - Akihabara · EA $12.40 379 82% 11k $141k (exactly $140,988) UGC90
A Planet Full of Cats $7.99 581 89% 17k $139k (exactly $139,266) Devcats
夏目友人帳 ~葉月の記~ $49.99 77 80% 2.3k $115k (exactly $115,477) Toydium
Nippets: A Hidden Object Game $12.99 214 92% 6.4k $83k (exactly $83,396) Blink Industries
Desk Paws $5.99 463 86% 14k $83k (exactly $83,201) GinkgoGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.