Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Game Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Card Game

Only 19 developers shipped a Card Game Survival Horror in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sultan's Game, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×10 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $18M, ×29918 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 21 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 21 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $42k → $3.8k → $42k (still earning) → $746 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $2.7k (exactly $2,691)
Median $6.3k (exactly $6,287)
Top 25% $42k (exactly $42,088)
Top 5% $19M (exactly $18,788,232)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 35
Announced 21
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror, Card Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Strategy, Card Battler
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 28,527 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.7k, median $6.3k, 1 in 4 over $42k, 1 in 20 over $18M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sultan's Game $24.99 25,061 93% 752k $19M (exactly $18,788,232) Double Cross
WORLD OF HORROR older $19.99 8,991 89% 270k $5.4M (exactly $5,391,903) panstasz
100% Orange Juice older $6.99 14,786 93% 444k $3.1M (exactly $3,100,624) Orange_Juice, Fruitbat Factory
Forbidden Solitaire $15.99 2,245 96% 67k $1.1M (exactly $1,076,926) Grey Alien Games, Night Signal Entertai… (Grey Alien Games, Night Signal Entertainment)
Nemesis: Lockdown older $24.99 732 68% 22k $549k (exactly $548,780) InterStudio
Roots Devour $14.99 479 68% 14k $215k (exactly $215,406) Rewinding Games
Draft of Darkness older $14.99 336 94% 10k $151k (exactly $151,099) Crawly Games
THE SPIRIT LIFT $19.99 118 94% 3.5k $71k (exactly $70,765) prettysmart games
The Dead Await $12.99 108 67% 3.2k $42k (exactly $42,088) Shotx
ZombieCards $5.99 232 48% 7.0k $42k (exactly $41,690) HotScent
Blackjack Descent $7.99 88 79% 2.6k $21k (exactly $21,094) CGI LAB GAMES
Don't Freeze: A Winter Card Survival · EA $17.99 31 74% 930 $17k (exactly $16,731) YOLO35GAMES
KUNKUN League $2.99 123 98% 3.7k $11k (exactly $11,033) Seal
DEMONS $4.99 42 71% 1.3k $6.3k (exactly $6,287) Andrew Fender, Alastair Headden

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.