Do I ship it?

Games › Multiple Endings › Multiple Endings + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Card Game?

Multiple Endings + Card Game

Of 97 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 182 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.4 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $710k, ×1502 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 182 games are announced against 64 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 182 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 97
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $61k → $49k → $2.3k → $6.6k → $11k → $1.8k → $1.3k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 97
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 25% $40k (exactly $40,223)
Top 5% $713k (exactly $713,483)
Developers, 2 yr 97
Released games 195
Announced 182
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Card Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Deckbuilding
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 46,492 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $40k, 1 in 20 over $710k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 182 games are announced against 64 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Sultan's Game 2025 · $19M Armello 2015 · $8.3M Griftlands 2021 · $8.1M I Was a Teenage Exocolonist 2022 · $3.3M School Days 2026 · $2.7M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sultan's Game $24.99 25,061 93% 752k $19M (exactly $18,788,232) Double Cross
Armello older $24.99 11,013 82% 330k $8.3M (exactly $8,256,446) League of Geeks
Griftlands older $19.99 13,440 93% 403k $8.1M (exactly $8,059,968) Klei Entertainment
I Was a Teenage Exocolonist older $24.99 4,443 96% 133k $3.3M (exactly $3,330,917) Northway Games
School Days $14.99 6,023 77% 181k $2.7M (exactly $2,708,543) 白雨工作室
Matchmaking Inc. $8.99 5,773 87% 173k $1.6M (exactly $1,556,978) Wave Games
Take Me To The Dungeon!! older $10.99 3,895 93% 117k $1.3M (exactly $1,284,182) Hanabi Fuusen
Journey to the West older $19.99 1,470 79% 44k $882k (exactly $881,559) Z Studio
Demon Lord: Just a Block $12.99 2,065 96% 62k $805k (exactly $804,730) YuWave
Out Of Hands $17.99 1,322 93% 40k $713k (exactly $713,483) Game River
Card-en-Ciel $24.99 856 90% 26k $642k (exactly $641,743) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Destiny of Immortal · EA $11.99 1,763 80% 53k $634k (exactly $634,151) LeiYun Games
Witch's Apocalyptic Journey $8.99 1,282 84% 38k $346k (exactly $345,755) MeowAlive
Trainee Death Simulator $5.99 1,746 92% 52k $314k (exactly $313,756) Bone Nail
神树残响（Echoes of the Divine Tree） $11.99 601 94% 18k $216k (exactly $216,180) Seventeen horns

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.