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Should I ship a Card Game MOBA?
MOBA + Card Game
Only 5 developers shipped a paid Card Game MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Battle Waves: Card Tactics, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 12 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.
Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $0 against a market of $1.3k. 12 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $0 (exactly $0) |
| Top 25% | $629 (exactly $629) |
| Top 5% | $2.7k (exactly $2,696) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 12 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 53%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MOBA, Card Game
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 7 games average 77% positive over 1,928 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterDead
- + SurvivalDead
Comparable games
Taboos: Cracks 2019 · $96k 
The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn 2017 · $95k 
富甲天下W 2023 · $24k 
九州风流 2022 · EA · $21k 
Battle Waves: Card Tactics 2024 · $2.7k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Taboos: Cracks | older | $1.99 | 1,609 80% | 48k | $96k (exactly $96,057) | DSGame |
| | The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn | older | $19.99 | 158 77% | 4.7k | $95k (exactly $94,753) | Dragon Wing Studio |
| | 富甲天下W | older | $7.99 | 101 42% | 3.0k | $24k (exactly $24,210) | T-Time Technology CO., LTD. |
| | 九州风流 | · EA older | $17.99 | 38 60% | 1.1k | $21k (exactly $20,509) | GB |
| | Battle Waves: Card Tactics | $5.99 | 15 73% | 450 | $2.7k (exactly $2,696) | CAGE Studios | |
 | Landmark Battle | · EA | $6.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | Poetic Games |
 | Soul of War: Legions | older | $1.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $239 (exactly $239) | Fantasy War Studio |
 | Fengshui Chess | $8.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 吴小白 | |
 | Fatebound Cards: Sundering Cities | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Lone Cuihua | |
 | Throne of Capital | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | bulanke | |
 | デルタコモンズ | older | $13.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | deruta |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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