Should I ship a Card Game FPS?
FPS + Card Game
Only 16 developers shipped a Card Game FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bogos Binted?, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×125 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 22 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) |
| Top 25% | $15k (exactly $14,735) |
| Top 5% | $187k (exactly $186,770) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 335% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- FPS, Card Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Gambling, Arcade
- Price point
- $3.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Dark
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,203 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 22 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + FaithFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RunnerLong shot
- + Action RTSLong shot
- + Bullet HellLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
Comparable games
Neon White 2022 · $13M 
Friends vs Friends 2023 · $3.3M 
West Sweety 2019 · $193k 
Bogos Binted? 2026 · $187k 
Zup! 6 2017 · $147k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Neon White | older | $24.99 | 17,259 97% | 518k | $13M (exactly $12,939,072) | Angel Matrix |
| | Friends vs Friends | older | $9.99 | 10,860 83% | 326k | $3.3M (exactly $3,254,742) | Brainwash Gang |
| | West Sweety | older | $1.99 | 3,227 83% | 97k | $193k (exactly $192,652) | AFOG |
| | Bogos Binted? | $5.49 | 1,134 91% | 34k | $187k (exactly $186,770) | underbadger | |
| | Zup! 6 | older | $1.99 | 2,457 93% | 74k | $147k (exactly $146,683) | Quiet River |
 | Taboos: Cracks | older | $1.99 | 1,609 80% | 48k | $96k (exactly $96,057) | DSGame |
 | Fantasy of Caocao 2 | older | $8.99 | 290 83% | 8.7k | $78k (exactly $78,213) | 桑尼游戏(Sunny Game) |
 | Lucky Shot | $12.99 | 147 97% | 4.4k | $57k (exactly $57,286) | Deliver Games | |
 | Hypnosis Card | older | $4.99 | 216 71% | 6.5k | $32k (exactly $32,335) | Naku Kinoko |
 | Spellshot | older | $9.99 | 76 69% | 2.3k | $23k (exactly $22,777) | Team Monumental |
 | ENCOUNTER BAR | $0.99 | 590 78% | 18k | $18k (exactly $17,523) | 2R | |
 | Only False | · EA | $5.99 | 82 92% | 2.5k | $15k (exactly $14,735) | Metavision Studio |
 | Cheater's Table | · EA | $6.99 | 69 95% | 2.1k | $14k (exactly $14,469) | Lagari |
 | KUNKUN League | $2.99 | 123 98% | 3.7k | $11k (exactly $11,033) | Seal | |
 | YEKO | · EA | $3.99 | 33 57% | 990 | $4.0k (exactly $3,950) | BEGA Game Studio |
 | The Good, The Bad & The Monkey | $5.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) | Take Away Interactive | |
 | The Panopticon | $5.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | ATLANTION | |
 | STAB! | · EA | $0.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $475 (exactly $475) | mightyraccoon! Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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