Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Traditional Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Traditional Roguelike Card Battler?

Card Battler + Traditional Roguelike

Of 43 developers who shipped a Traditional Roguelike Card Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Revenue is up 980% on the market; 57 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 980% on the market, 57 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Traditional Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.8k → $1.7k → $2.6k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Traditional Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,940)
Top 5% $46k (exactly $46,051)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 61
Announced 57
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 980% on the market, supply 280% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Traditional Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Battler, Traditional Roguelike; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Strategy, Card Game
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,631 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $450, 1 in 4 over $4.9k, 1 in 20 over $46k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  9. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  10. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  11. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds18 devs · median $25k · 21 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Endgame of Devil older $6.99 964 88% 29k $202k (exactly $202,151) MiniWhale
Kādomon: Hyper Auto Battlers $9.99 543 65% 16k $163k (exactly $162,737) Dino Rocket
Backpack Dungeon $3.99 656 87% 20k $79k (exactly $78,523) 夜喵
Is It Wrong to Repay the Debt in a Dungeon? older $17.99 118 79% 3.5k $64k (exactly $63,685) Atelier Wanko
Right and Down older $9.99 200 80% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) mc2games
Infinite Cards $15.99 96 93% 2.9k $46k (exactly $46,051) Tubby Turtle Studios
XenoWorld ~The Rondeau of Astra~ older $10.99 112 75% 3.4k $37k (exactly $36,926) IMaiIna_, INA
Dragon Front: Adventures $19.99 58 89% 1.7k $35k (exactly $34,783) High Voltage Software, Inc.
Bearly Brave $9.99 66 84% 2.0k $20k (exactly $19,780) Barbaric Games
Calamity Eliminator · EA older $7.99 79 73% 2.4k $19k (exactly $18,936) White Knight
Lucha Chess · EA $8.99 60 86% 1.8k $16k (exactly $16,182) Jorge T.V.
It's time, Your Majesty $6.99 77 64% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,147) String studio
Boardlike · EA $12.99 27 70% 810 $11k (exactly $10,522) Bozz
鸭鸭大冒险 (Duck Duck Adventure) $8.99 29 93% 870 $7.8k (exactly $7,821) 清友工作室
Poker TD $9.99 19 63% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) ViralCloud

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.