Do I ship it?

GamesArcadeArcade + Card Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Battler Arcade game?

Arcade + Card Battler

Of 68 developers who shipped a Card Battler Arcade game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 75 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.0 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $210. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 75 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 75 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Card Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 68
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $269 → $450 → $2.9k → $1.8k → $2.5k → $3.1k (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arcade + Card Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 68
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,918)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,694)
Top 5% $35k (exactly $35,463)
Developers, 2 yr 68
Released games 124
Announced 75
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Arcade, Card Battler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Roguelike
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 4,364 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $35k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 75 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + FaithFair16 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  6. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  9. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  10. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  11. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced
  12. + RomanceFair58 devs · median $1.8k · 49 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Balatro older $14.99 160,715 97% 4.8M $72M (exactly $72,273,536) LocalThunk
ROUNDS older $5.99 35,738 95% 1.1M $6.4M (exactly $6,422,119) Landfall
SUPER DRAGON BALL HEROES WORLD MISSION older $59.99 1,404 82% 42k $2.5M (exactly $2,526,779) Dimps Corporation, SAFARI GAMES Co., Lt… (Dimps Corporation, SAFARI GAMES Co., Ltd.)
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Cursed Words: The Word Game That Isn't $14.99 698 95% 21k $314k (exactly $313,891) Buried Things
Duelists of Eden older $4.99 856 95% 26k $128k (exactly $128,143) Thomas Moon Kang
Pro Jank Footy $14.99 215 80% 6.5k $97k (exactly $96,686) Powerbomb Games, Tinker Town
ploink $12.99 91 96% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,463) Pyrocreep
TypInc. $9.99 102 74% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,569) Game Game Games
Bearly Brave $9.99 66 84% 2.0k $20k (exactly $19,780) Barbaric Games
Cardburners $9.99 58 98% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) GrosChevaux
Tabulo $9.99 58 91% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) Noah Games
Moon Watch · EA $9.99 56 57% 1.7k $17k (exactly $16,783) Jaspel
Order Automatica $5.99 58 89% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,423) New Beings

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.