Do I ship it?

GamesParty GameParty Game + Card Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Battler Party Game?

Party Game + Card Battler

Of 28 developers who shipped a Card Battler Party Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 35 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 35 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party Game + Card Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $1.7k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party Game + Card Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,782)
Top 5% $281k (exactly $280,660)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 40
Announced 35
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 735% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Party Game, Card Battler; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Card Game, Strategy
Price point
$5.50 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.50.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 5,673 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $450, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 35 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  2. + RhythmFair11 devs · median $802 · 19 announced
  3. + DeckbuildingFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  4. + MinigamesPoor odds28 devs · median $4.0k · 66 announced
  5. + RoguelitePoor odds22 devs · median $2.7k · 68 announced
  6. + RoguelikePoor odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 51 announced
  7. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $2.4k · 45 announced
  8. + DestructionPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  9. + DrivingPoor odds28 devs · median $1.7k · 60 announced
  10. + SurvivalPoor odds55 devs · median $1.3k · 135 announced
  11. + HorrorPoor odds61 devs · median $1.3k · 144 announced
  12. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds24 devs · median $1.3k · 64 announced

All 95 pairs on the Party Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ROUNDS older $5.99 35,738 95% 1.1M $6.4M (exactly $6,422,119) Landfall
Guilty as Sock! $5.50 4,836 89% 145k $798k (exactly $797,940) Demon Max
Youtubers Life 3 $19.99 468 50% 14k $281k (exactly $280,660) UPLAY Online
Exploding Kittens® 2 older $12.49 447 75% 13k $167k (exactly $167,491) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
One Last Hand $6.99 86 70% 2.6k $18k (exactly $18,034) Fire Brick Games
Gnaughty Gnomes $7.99 71 100% 2.1k $17k (exactly $17,019) SandCastles Studio
Cheater's Table · EA $6.99 69 95% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) Lagari
Duo Quest $14.99 26 65% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) 1+1 Studios
Doodle Dice Monsters $5.99 60 75% 1.8k $11k (exactly $10,782) AuWiMo, Mighty Jungle Games
GensouKoroKoro $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) mitiroom
Deck of Treads $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) DuckByte Games
Blackjack Roulette $2.99 30 83% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) DreamArk Lab

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.