Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Combat › Turn-Based Combat + Capitalism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Capitalist Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + Capitalism

Only 12 developers shipped a Capitalist Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 九州：立志, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $84k, ×178 the market median. Revenue is up 845% on the market; 37 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 845% on the market, 37 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + Capitalism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $34k → $13k → $1.2k → $51k (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + Capitalism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,249)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $22,189)
Top 5% $85k (exactly $84,530)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 35
Announced 37
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 845% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Capitalism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 405 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $84k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  10. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  12. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Last Federation 2014 · $228k Epic Manager - Create Your Own Adventuring Agency! 2016 · $99k 九州：立志 2026 · $85k To Hell With The Ugly 2023 · $80k Global Protocol: New World Order 2026 · EA · $51k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Last Federation older $19.99 380 72% 11k $228k (exactly $227,886) Arcen Games
Epic Manager - Create Your Own Adventuring Agency! older $17.99 184 61% 5.5k $99k (exactly $99,305) ManaVoid Entertainment
九州：立志 $11.99 235 81% 7.1k $85k (exactly $84,530) Xbgzs
To Hell With The Ugly older $19.99 133 87% 4.0k $80k (exactly $79,760) La Poule Noire, ARTE France
Global Protocol: New World Order · EA $19.99 85 71% 2.6k $51k (exactly $50,974) Dorlion Interactive
长明火计划 Project: Eternal Flame older $19.99 77 88% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) 唐扬Studio
Sorry We're Open older $7.99 140 95% 4.2k $34k (exactly $33,558) oates
Suits: Absolute Power older $4.99 206 95% 6.2k $31k (exactly $30,838) Technomancy Studios
Suits: A Business RPG older $0.99 950 88% 29k $28k (exactly $28,215) Technomancy Studios
UltraGirl Alters $19.99 37 64% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) FutureInvention
Torment Hexus · EA $9.99 21 100% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) TMA Games LLC
Dungeon Trail $7.99 11 100% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) My Brother And I Make Games
Orbit Economica $24.99 3 66% 90 $2.2k (exactly $2,249) Phoenix Smith
Wizabeasts $19.99 3 66% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Pumpkin Pi
Rename the History $4.99 8 37% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Codime Dev
My Fantasy Hostess Club $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) GenKizune
Nex-Ara · EA $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Taboozie

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.