Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Capitalism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Capitalist Local Multiplayer game?

Local Multiplayer + Capitalism

Only 10 developers shipped a Capitalist Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, NEW MONOPOLY®, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $15k, ×31 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $5.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $470k, ×1006 the market median. Revenue is up 190% on the market; 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 31.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 190% on the market, 20 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Capitalism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $1.7k → $2.8k → $13k → $24k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Capitalism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $5.5k (exactly $5,456)
Median $15k (exactly $14,809)
Top 25% $85k (exactly $84,572)
Top 5% $478k (exactly $477,741)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 28
Announced 20
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 190% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Capitalism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 61% positive over 1,195 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $5.5k, median $15k, 1 in 4 over $84k, 1 in 20 over $470k.

3 in 10 developers made under $5.5k. 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NEW MONOPOLY® $29.99 531 36% 16k $478k (exactly $477,741) UBISOFT, Engine Software
XF Extreme Formula $11.99 366 90% 11k $132k (exactly $131,650) Feperd Games
Monopoly: Star Wars™ Heroes vs. Villains $29.99 94 39% 2.8k $85k (exactly $84,572) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
Get Packed: Fully Loaded older $19.99 68 45% 2.0k $41k (exactly $40,780) Moonshine Studios
Vertiginous Golf older $9.99 113 62% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,866) Kinelco & Lone Elk Creative
Potion Party older $9.99 90 90% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) RPGames
Blueblood Arena · EA $8.99 88 96% 2.6k $24k (exactly $23,734) Team Blueblood
D-Corp older $19.99 36 77% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) Frogsong Studios
Road Food Simulator $12.99 38 57% 1.1k $15k (exactly $14,809) 2MEDYA
Fortune Avenue · EA $6.99 63 84% 1.9k $13k (exactly $13,211) Binogure Studio 🐺
Global Business Tycoon $12.99 14 57% 420 $5.5k (exactly $5,456) Virox Studios
Dice Battles Magnum Opus $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Aidan K
Beat The Markets · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Tech Skull Studios
Hustle Together $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Andrew Kane

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.