Do I ship it?

GamesSplit ScreenSplit Screen + Bullet Hell

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Split Screen Bullet Hell?

Split Screen + Bullet Hell

Only 13 developers shipped a Split Screen Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, DunHero, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×228 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 22 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 22 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Split Screen + Bullet Hell
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $327 → $180 → $599 → $10k → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Split Screen + Bullet Hell: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,209)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,190)
Top 5% $143k (exactly $142,941)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 44
Announced 22
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Split Screen, Bullet Hell
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 856 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Split Screen with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Automobile SimStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced
  4. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $4.3k · 18 announced
  5. + SportsFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + RPGFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot23 devs · median $300 · 24 announced
  8. + CollectathonPoor odds10 devs · median $38k · 16 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds30 devs · median $25k · 63 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $18k · 20 announced
  11. + Open WorldPoor odds20 devs · median $10k · 27 announced
  12. + Tower DefensePoor odds8 devs · median $7.9k · 10 announced

All 84 pairs on the Split Screen page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DunHero $8.99 530 89% 16k $143k (exactly $142,941) Dev Kacper
Destropolis older $5.99 255 89% 7.7k $46k (exactly $45,824) Igrek Games
MeowGun: Hell Denizen $12.99 114 98% 3.4k $44k (exactly $44,426) SusaDeBastet
FLASHOUT 3 older $19.99 55 61% 1.7k $33k (exactly $32,984) Jujubee S.A.
BlastZone 2 older $14.99 66 69% 2.0k $30k (exactly $29,680) Matt Edzenga
Bonelords $6.99 94 92% 2.8k $20k (exactly $19,712) Z0 Game Studios
Chaos on Wheels $9.99 34 67% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) Acodeon Development
Cassiodora older $14.99 15 93% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Void Studios
Sacrifice Your Friends older $14.99 14 71% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Astrolabe Interactive Inc.
VRNOID older $9.99 16 93% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Fullmetal Developer
Dirtnap · EA $7.99 19 84% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitr… (Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitroyale)
A Duel Hand Disaster: Trackher $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Ask An Enemy Studios
Cat's Wars · EA $1.99 37 81% 1.1k $2.2k (exactly $2,209) Antelus Games
Steinstern: Spacewar $6.99 10 100% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) Chris Baum
BattleTanks - Animal Wars $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Kasur Games
Aluna Rift $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Ben Lowther-Saul

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.