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Should I ship a Choices Matter Bullet Heaven?
Choices Matter + Bullet Heaven
Of 20 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Bullet Heaven in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $240, ×0.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 46 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper, while revenue is down 100% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $239 (exactly $239) |
| Top 25% | $21k (exactly $20,760) |
| Top 5% | $3.6M (exactly $3,647,517) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 46 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Bullet Heaven
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Choices Matter, Bullet Heaven; all of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Roguelite
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 9,686 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
Rogue: Genesia 2025 · $3.6M 
Army of Ruin 2023 · $582k 
Reality Break 2025 · $512k 
The Knight Witch 2022 · $386k 
Artifact Seeker: Resurrection 2024 · $196k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Rogue: Genesia | $14.99 | 8,111 90% | 243k | $3.6M (exactly $3,647,517) | Ouadi Huard | |
| | Army of Ruin | older | $7.99 | 2,430 87% | 73k | $582k (exactly $582,471) | Milkstone Studios |
| | Reality Break | $24.99 | 683 80% | 20k | $512k (exactly $512,045) | Element Games, LLC | |
| | The Knight Witch | older | $19.99 | 643 72% | 19k | $386k (exactly $385,607) | Super Mega Team |
| | Artifact Seeker: Resurrection | older | $8.99 | 725 79% | 22k | $196k (exactly $195,532) | Lynkpin Game |
 | Blood Dungeon | $9.99 | 453 89% | 14k | $136k (exactly $135,764) | Messhof | |
 | Maid Survivors : Little Angels | · EA | $8.99 | 268 93% | 8.0k | $72k (exactly $72,280) | MilkEmpire |
 | Heroes Of Loot: Gauntlet Of Power | older | $14.99 | 65 89% | 2.0k | $29k (exactly $29,230) | Orangepixel |
 | Horde Hunters | $6.99 | 99 86% | 3.0k | $21k (exactly $20,760) | Antti Vaihia | |
 | Sovereign's End | $14.99 | 19 94% | 570 | $8.5k (exactly $8,544) | NQR Games Inc. | |
 | YGGDRA: SURVIVOR | $4.99 | 34 79% | 1.0k | $5.1k (exactly $5,090) | BD | |
 | DEMON SIEGE | $2.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $1.4k (exactly $1,435) | The Jank Factory | |
 | 7 Days in Dystopia | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Yapability | |
 | TOWERPULSE | $3.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | HAT Media |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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