Do I ship it?

GamesBuildingBuilding + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Building game?

Building + Supernatural

Only 14 developers shipped a Supernatural Building game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Worshippers of Cthulhu, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.2k, ×8.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $970k, ×1558 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 34 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 34 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Building + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Building + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $628 (exactly $628)
Median $5.2k (exactly $5,240)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $25,179)
Top 5% $978k (exactly $978,358)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 36
Announced 34
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Building; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Base Building
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 2,126 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $5.2k, 1 in 4 over $25k, 1 in 20 over $970k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Building with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  2. + CatsFair52 devs · median $4.5k · 59 announced
  3. + TabletopFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  4. + Grid-Based MovementFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  5. + Interactive FictionFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced
  6. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  7. + JRPGPoor odds10 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds28 devs · median $85k · 61 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds112 devs · median $71k · 251 announced
  10. + Real-TimePoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  11. + CrimePoor odds13 devs · median $55k · 52 announced
  12. + SailingPoor odds13 devs · median $52k · 40 announced

All 210 pairs on the Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Worshippers of Cthulhu $24.99 1,305 80% 39k $978k (exactly $978,358) Crazy Goat Games
Night is Coming · EA $24.99 387 59% 12k $290k (exactly $290,134) Wild Forest Studio
Haunted House Renovator $19.99 197 45% 5.9k $118k (exactly $118,141) Image Power S.A.
Brookhaven Grimoire older $14.99 150 52% 4.5k $67k (exactly $67,455) Little_Amethyst
Kokoro Kitchen $11.99 70 81% 2.1k $25k (exactly $25,179) Mango Leaf Games
Saviour of the Wasteland $9.99 84 78% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) PTGames
Little Hats · EA older $19.99 25 88% 750 $15k (exactly $14,992) Venekamp Studios
Left Behind older $5.99 76 61% 2.3k $14k (exactly $13,657) SolitaryStudios
Snow Survival · EA older $11.99 34 26% 1.0k $12k (exactly $12,230) 3m0 studio
Nayati River older $4.99 79 63% 2.4k $12k (exactly $11,826) Worlds To Play
SCP $9.99 24 37% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Molance Games
Grooveyard $4.99 35 100% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) GuavaGoose Games
Pathways & Poltergeists $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Wise Goose Games
Kings of Cratia $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) eniscoskun
Backrooms: The Yellow Dream $2.99 7 71% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Crow Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.