Do I ship it?

GamesBuildingBuilding + Steampunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Steampunk Building game?

Building + Steampunk

Only 11 developers shipped a Steampunk Building game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Steel Artery: Train City Builder, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×6.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.9k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×218 the market median. Revenue is up 1710% on the market; 51 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 1710% on the market, 51 announced, ×6.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Building + Steampunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $22k → $70k → $7.9k (still earning) → $45k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Building + Steampunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Median $7.9k (exactly $7,913)
Top 25% $45k (exactly $44,520)
Top 5% $137k (exactly $137,158)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 55
Announced 51
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1710% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Steampunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Building
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 742 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $7.9k, 1 in 4 over $44k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 51 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Building with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  2. + CatsFair52 devs · median $4.5k · 59 announced
  3. + TabletopFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  4. + Grid-Based MovementFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  5. + Interactive FictionFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced
  6. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  7. + JRPGPoor odds10 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds28 devs · median $85k · 61 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds112 devs · median $71k · 251 announced
  10. + Real-TimePoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  11. + CrimePoor odds13 devs · median $55k · 52 announced
  12. + SailingPoor odds13 devs · median $52k · 40 announced

All 210 pairs on the Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Frostpunk older $29.99 114,376 92% 3.4M $103M (exactly $102,904,087) 11 bit studios
They Are Billions older $29.99 46,223 85% 1.4M $42M (exactly $41,586,833) Numantian Games
Airships: Conquer the Skies older $24.99 6,197 95% 186k $4.6M (exactly $4,645,891) David Stark
Volcanoids · EA older $19.99 7,679 83% 230k $4.6M (exactly $4,605,096) Volcanoid
Opus Magnum older $19.99 5,964 97% 179k $3.6M (exactly $3,576,611) Zachtronics
Airborne Kingdom older $24.99 2,104 86% 63k $1.6M (exactly $1,577,369) The Wandering Band LLC
SteamWorld Build older $24.99 1,884 83% 57k $1.4M (exactly $1,412,435) The Station
Bulwark: Falconeer Chronicles older $19.99 1,381 85% 41k $828k (exactly $828,186) Tomas Sala
Lethis - Path of Progress older $19.99 1,103 67% 33k $661k (exactly $661,469) Triskell Interactive
Merchant of the Skies older $14.99 1,437 87% 43k $646k (exactly $646,219) Coldwild Games
Steel Artery: Train City Builder $14.99 305 71% 9.2k $137k (exactly $137,158) SoulAge23
ShipShaper: Falconeer Chronicles · EA $8.99 192 96% 5.8k $52k (exactly $51,782) Tomas Sala
Exark $14.99 99 73% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,520) Robot Cat Limited
The Fool's Apprentice $16.99 42 52% 1.3k $21k (exactly $21,407) The Planar Danse
HEXSTORM: Tears of Arcadia $8.99 56 75% 1.7k $15k (exactly $15,103) Tearevo
Nova Patria $11.99 22 100% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) Sower Interactive
Wings of Aviora · EA $24.99 8 87% 240 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) Stormy XP
Tilescape Defense $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Kahvigames
Factory Train: DreamLine $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Unoptimized Bird
Steampunk Idle Spinner $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Airapport

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.