Do I ship it?

GamesBuildingBuilding + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Building game?

Building + Robots

Of 62 developers who shipped a Robot Building game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 135 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×4.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×674 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 135 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 135 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Building + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 62
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $299 → $3.2k → $4.0k → $3.8k → $1.4k → $3.6k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Building + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 62
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,936)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $23,079)
Top 5% $423k (exactly $423,388)
Developers, 2 yr 62
Released games 190
Announced 135
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Building; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sandbox, Strategy, Resource Management
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 7,410 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 135 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Building with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  2. + CatsFair52 devs · median $4.5k · 59 announced
  3. + TabletopFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  4. + Grid-Based MovementFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  5. + Interactive FictionFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced
  6. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  7. + JRPGPoor odds10 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds28 devs · median $85k · 61 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds112 devs · median $71k · 251 announced
  10. + Real-TimePoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  11. + CrimePoor odds13 devs · median $55k · 52 announced
  12. + SailingPoor odds13 devs · median $52k · 40 announced

All 210 pairs on the Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TerraTech older $24.99 20,564 92% 617k $15M (exactly $15,416,831) Payload Studios
Planetary Annihilation: TITANS older $29.99 11,401 84% 342k $10M (exactly $10,257,480) Planetary Annihilation Inc
Starbase · EA older $34.99 6,217 56% 187k $6.5M (exactly $6,525,985) Frozenbyte
Per Aspera older $29.99 4,105 76% 123k $3.7M (exactly $3,693,268) Tlön Industries
FOUNDRY · EA older $29.99 3,272 82% 98k $2.9M (exactly $2,943,818) Channel 3 Entertainment
Ashes of the Singularity: Escalation older $29.99 2,704 76% 81k $2.4M (exactly $2,432,789) Stardock Entertainment, Oxide Games
Automation Empire older $29.99 2,584 65% 78k $2.3M (exactly $2,324,825) DOG HOGGLER
Autonauts older $19.99 3,596 90% 108k $2.2M (exactly $2,156,521) Denki
Mars First Logistics $19.99 3,497 94% 105k $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151) Shape Shop
Nova Lands older $19.99 2,512 90% 75k $1.5M (exactly $1,506,446) BEHEMUTT
Microtopia $19.99 881 87% 26k $528k (exactly $528,336) Cordyceps Collective
Blossom: The Seed of Life $16.99 1,011 88% 30k $515k (exactly $515,307) Pebbledust Games
Axon TD: Uprising - Tower Defense $19.99 706 85% 21k $423k (exactly $423,388) Element Studios
Annihilate The Spance · EA $29.99 347 90% 10k $312k (exactly $312,196) Skyglow Softworks
World End Diner $16.99 415 93% 12k $212k (exactly $211,525) Andymente
Tech Blast $39.99 90 92% 2.7k $108k (exactly $107,973) Galactic Geckon
Mineral Defense $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Corestone Games
Sky End Market · EA $18.99 164 96% 4.9k $93k (exactly $93,431) Andymente
Icaria $24.99 79 75% 2.4k $59k (exactly $59,226) Blindsight Games LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.