Games › Building › Building + Outbreak Sim
Should I ship a Building Outbreak Sim?
Building + Outbreak Sim
Only 18 developers shipped a Building Outbreak Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dread Dawn, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×2018 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 24 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $898 (exactly $898) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) |
| Top 25% | $33k (exactly $32,922) |
| Top 5% | $1.3M (exactly $1,267,166) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 44 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Building
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Outbreak Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Building, Outbreak Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Base Building, City Builder, Colony Sim
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Isometric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 4,289 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CatsFair
- + TabletopFair
- + Grid-Based MovementFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + Vehicular CombatPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + CrimePoor odds
- + SailingPoor odds
Comparable games
Dread Dawn 2024 · $1.3M 
ZED ZONE 2023 · EA · $1.3M 
After Inc: Revival 2026 · $799k 
Rebuild 3: Gangs of Deadsville 2015 · $668k 
Galacticare 2024 · $540k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dread Dawn | $19.99 | 2,113 71% | 63k | $1.3M (exactly $1,267,166) | Kioop | |
| | ZED ZONE | · EA older | $11.99 | 3,506 81% | 105k | $1.3M (exactly $1,261,108) | Leven Liu |
| | After Inc: Revival | $17.99 | 1,480 77% | 44k | $799k (exactly $798,756) | Ndemic Creations | |
| | Rebuild 3: Gangs of Deadsville | older | $14.99 | 1,486 86% | 45k | $668k (exactly $668,254) | Northway Games, Sarah Northway |
| | Galacticare | older | $29.99 | 600 85% | 18k | $540k (exactly $539,820) | Brightrock Games |
 | Zombie Cure Lab | $24.99 | 393 65% | 12k | $295k (exactly $294,632) | Thera Bytes GmbH | |
 | Mad Tower Tycoon | older | $14.99 | 413 77% | 12k | $186k (exactly $185,726) | Eggcode |
 | Rogue AI Simulator | older | $11.99 | 364 82% | 11k | $131k (exactly $130,931) | Nerdook Productions |
 | Repterra | $19.99 | 122 90% | 3.7k | $73k (exactly $73,163) | Chute Apps | |
 | Rebirth evolution | older | $8.99 | 125 61% | 3.8k | $34k (exactly $33,712) | 异界游网络科技 |
 | Genesis of a Small God | $17.99 | 61 80% | 1.8k | $33k (exactly $32,922) | Pierre Nury | |
 | Post-Apo Builder | $9.99 | 54 37% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | Septarian Games | |
 | Alarm112: Fire Unit | $14.99 | 23 73% | 690 | $10k (exactly $10,343) | Control Room Labs | |
 | Biletide | $5.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $4.3k (exactly $4,313) | Formic Games | |
 | Apocalypse Factory | · EA | $9.99 | 8 50% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Mind Leak |
 | 英雄荣光医院 | $6.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $2.3k (exactly $2,307) | Areas R |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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