Do I ship it?

GamesBuildingBuilding + Mystery Dungeon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Building Mystery Dungeon?

Building + Mystery Dungeon

Only 11 developers shipped a Building Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, PuPu's Adventure Park, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180, ×0.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 31 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper, while revenue is up 355% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 355% on the market, 31 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Building + Mystery Dungeon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.1k → $1.5k → $178 → $450 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Building + Mystery Dungeon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $178 (exactly $178)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,721)
Top 5% $58k (exactly $58,461)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 31
Announced 31
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 355% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Building, Mystery Dungeon
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 68% positive over 298 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 31 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  2. + CatsFair52 devs · median $4.5k · 59 announced
  3. + TabletopFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  4. + Grid-Based MovementFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  5. + Interactive FictionFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced
  6. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  7. + JRPGPoor odds10 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds28 devs · median $85k · 61 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds112 devs · median $71k · 251 announced
  10. + Real-TimePoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  11. + CrimePoor odds13 devs · median $55k · 52 announced
  12. + SailingPoor odds13 devs · median $52k · 40 announced

All 210 pairs on the Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Diggles: The Myth of Fenris older $9.99 619 89% 19k $186k (exactly $185,514) Spieleentwicklungskombinat GmbH, Genera… (Spieleentwicklungskombinat GmbH, General Arcade)
Monsters Domain older $19.99 272 34% 8.2k $163k (exactly $163,118) G-DEVS.com
ScrewUp older $9.99 259 68% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,622) 199 Cents STUDIO
PuPu's Adventure Park $14.99 130 64% 3.9k $58k (exactly $58,461) 西梅树工作室
Spirit Animal Survival $19.99 96 62% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) TRUEFX GAMES
Digs TD older $19.99 76 67% 2.3k $46k (exactly $45,577) Digs Team
Brinefall older $7.99 90 40% 2.7k $22k (exactly $21,573) Qwerty Studio
The Rings of Powder older $12.99 45 95% 1.4k $18k (exactly $17,536) Artificial Worlds
The Maze Survivor: The 9th Entrants $8.99 62 82% 1.9k $17k (exactly $16,721) 崔资坦独立游戏Triztan IndieGame
Dreamstones older $11.99 45 91% 1.4k $16k (exactly $16,186) Windybeard
Creation of a god: The Eternal Village $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Lost Dreams Games
What You Didn't See $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Supracorpus, Otakutronic
No One's Island · EA $0.99 6 100% 180 $178 (exactly $178) Rinthis Arathis
Grid World $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 一尾66
AstroMart Adventures · EA $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Prime Rendering
StellarGrift · EA $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Jivapeira
Gatherlands · EA $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Bugurca Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.