Do I ship it?

GamesBuildingBuilding + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Building game?

Building + Cyberpunk

Of 22 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Building game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 66 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.9k, ×6.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $89k, ×143 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 66 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 66 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Building + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $897 → $1.3k → $719 → $76k → $1.3k → $1.5k (still earning) → $9.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Building + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 25% $48k (exactly $48,286)
Top 5% $90k (exactly $89,670)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 68
Announced 66
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Building; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Sandbox, Automation
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Top-Down, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 4,546 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $3.9k, 1 in 4 over $48k, 1 in 20 over $89k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 66 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Building with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  2. + CatsFair52 devs · median $4.5k · 59 announced
  3. + TabletopFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  4. + Grid-Based MovementFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  5. + Interactive FictionFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced
  6. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  7. + JRPGPoor odds10 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds28 devs · median $85k · 61 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds112 devs · median $71k · 251 announced
  10. + Real-TimePoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  11. + CrimePoor odds13 devs · median $55k · 52 announced
  12. + SailingPoor odds13 devs · median $52k · 40 announced

All 210 pairs on the Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ostranauts $19.99 3,137 77% 94k $1.9M (exactly $1,881,259) Blue Bottle Games
Industries of Titan older $29.99 1,553 61% 47k $1.4M (exactly $1,397,234) Brace Yourself Games
Dystopika older $6.99 3,413 95% 102k $716k (exactly $715,706) Voids Within
Mech Mechanic Simulator older $19.99 538 61% 16k $323k (exactly $322,639) Polyslash
Titan Attacks! older $9.99 654 92% 20k $196k (exactly $196,004) Puppygames
Landinar: Into the Void older $19.99 234 55% 7.0k $140k (exactly $140,330) Convoy Games
Sphere - Flying Cities older $17.99 178 44% 5.3k $96k (exactly $96,067) mañana studios
Technotopia $4.99 599 86% 18k $90k (exactly $89,670) Yustas
Desperate Place $10.99 253 66% 7.6k $83k (exactly $83,414) BruceGalaxy
Quantum Odyssey · EA $17.99 141 92% 4.2k $76k (exactly $76,098) Quarks Interactive
Alien Market Simulator $12.99 124 83% 3.7k $48k (exactly $48,323) Silly Sloth Studios, Kheddo Entertainme… (Silly Sloth Studios, Kheddo Entertainment)
Elvenfoundry $34.99 46 67% 1.4k $48k (exactly $48,286) SunbathGames
Neongarten $9.99 67 86% 2.0k $20k (exactly $20,080) Moonroof Studios
Everwarder $8.99 55 90% 1.7k $15k (exactly $14,834) qLate
Midnight Moments $2.99 108 92% 3.2k $9.7k (exactly $9,688) Happy Volcano
Holonoptic $19.95 16 93% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,576) Glazial

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.