Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Boomer Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Boomer Shooter FPS?

FPS + Boomer Shooter

Of 279 developers who shipped a Boomer Shooter FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 414 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×2.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $730k, ×492 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 414 games are announced against 163 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 414 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Boomer Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 279
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $157k → $40k → $8.1k → $9.0k → $3.3k → $3.3k → $1.8k (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Boomer Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 279
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 25% $27k (exactly $27,343)
Top 5% $738k (exactly $737,705)
Developers, 2 yr 279
Released games 586
Announced 414
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Boomer Shooter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 75,959 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $27k, 1 in 20 over $730k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 142 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 414 games are announced against 163 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

ULTRAKILL 2020 · EA · $192M DOOM Eternal 2020 · $169M DOOM 2016 · $93M DOOM: The Dark Ages 2025 · $48M Trepang2 2023 · $19M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ULTRAKILL · EA older $29.99 213,450 97% 6.4M $192M (exactly $192,040,965) Arsi "Hakita" Patala
DOOM Eternal older $29.99 187,483 91% 5.6M $169M (exactly $168,678,455) id Software
DOOM older $19.99 155,340 95% 4.7M $93M (exactly $93,157,398) id Software
DOOM: The Dark Ages $49.99 32,209 88% 966k $48M (exactly $48,303,837) id Software
Trepang2 older $39.99 15,774 93% 473k $19M (exactly $18,924,068) Trepang Studios
Serious Sam 4 older $39.99 15,612 83% 468k $19M (exactly $18,729,716) Croteam
DUSK older $19.99 22,073 97% 662k $13M (exactly $13,237,178) David Szymanski
MOUSE: P.I. For Hire $29.99 14,604 93% 438k $13M (exactly $13,139,219) Fumi Games
Warhammer 40,000: Boltgun older $21.99 15,741 90% 472k $10M (exactly $10,384,338) Auroch Digital
Bulletstorm: Full Clip Edition older $39.99 7,849 89% 235k $9.4M (exactly $9,416,445) People Can Fly
SULFUR · EA $24.99 9,641 87% 289k $7.2M (exactly $7,227,858) Perfect Random
Beyond Citadel $14.99 4,417 96% 133k $2.0M (exactly $1,986,325) doekuramori
Painkiller $39.99 1,091 54% 33k $1.3M (exactly $1,308,873) Anshar Studios
BRAZILIAN DRUG DEALER 3: I OPENED A PORTAL TO HELL IN THE FAVELA TRYING TO REVIVE MIT AIA I NEED TO CLOSE IT $4.99 7,743 97% 232k $1.2M (exactly $1,159,127) Joeveno
METAL EDEN $19.99 1,920 84% 58k $1.2M (exactly $1,151,424) Reikon Games
Forgive Me Father 2 $24.99 1,500 81% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,124,550) Byte Barrel
Starship Troopers: Ultimate Bug War! $24.99 1,352 92% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,013,594) Auroch Digital
Mohrta $19.99 1,482 91% 44k $889k (exactly $888,755) Scumhead, Osiol

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.