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Should I ship a Trading Board Game?
Trading + Board Game
Only 14 developers shipped a Trading Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Supercar Collection Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $590k, ×1254 the market median. Revenue is up 1390% on the market; 25 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
| Top 25% | $85k (exactly $84,572) |
| Top 5% | $595k (exactly $595,462) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1390% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Board Game
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Trading, Board Game
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 3,333 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + MiningFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + FlightPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + DrivingPoor odds
- + LootPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator | older | $24.99 | 1,033 77% | 31k | $774k (exactly $774,440) | Broken Arms Games |
| | Supercar Collection Simulator | $12.99 | 1,528 85% | 46k | $595k (exactly $595,462) | Kiki Games | |
| | Let Them Trade | $17.99 | 1,070 84% | 32k | $577k (exactly $577,479) | Spaceflower | |
| | Richman 4 | older | $5.99 | 1,614 74% | 48k | $290k (exactly $290,036) | SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT |
| | Console Shop Simulator | · EA | $15.99 | 516 92% | 15k | $248k (exactly $247,525) | Lance Games |
| | Istanbul: Digital Edition | older | $12.99 | 258 92% | 7.7k | $101k (exactly $100,543) | Acram Digital |
| | Monopoly: Star Wars™ Heroes vs. Villains | $29.99 | 94 39% | 2.8k | $85k (exactly $84,572) | Behaviour Interactive Inc. | |
| | Richman 8 | older | $7.99 | 214 64% | 6.4k | $51k (exactly $51,296) | SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(BEIJING)CO.LTD |
| | Catan VR | older | $14.99 | 86 73% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $38,674) | Experiment 7 |
| | Table Battle Simulator | · EA | $12.99 | 85 74% | 2.6k | $33k (exactly $33,124) | Kiki Games |
| | King's Subsidy | $11.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $5.4k (exactly $5,396) | Marcin Henzel | |
| | Trailmarks | $8.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $3.2k (exactly $3,236) | Trailmarks HQ | |
| | The First Mine | $4.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | Stefan Böttcher | |
| | Billionaire MAX | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Bunijia | |
| | World War Forex | · EA | $12.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $390 (exactly $390) | Leobot Electronics, Leon Botha, INESSOFT |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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