Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game FPS?

FPS + Board Game

Only 9 developers shipped a Board Game FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Liar's Bar, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 10 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for FPS + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $475 (exactly $475)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,469)
Top 5% $10M (exactly $10,214,068)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 27
Announced 10
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 700% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Board Game
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 50,566 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $480, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $10M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 10 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Liar's Bar · EA $6.99 48,708 89% 1.5M $10M (exactly $10,214,068) Curve Animation
Bogos Binted? $5.49 1,134 91% 34k $187k (exactly $186,770) underbadger
Mahjong Pretty Girls Battle : School Girls Edition older $14.99 187 64% 5.6k $84k (exactly $84,094) Zoo Corporation
The Bluecoats: North & South older $14.99 176 61% 5.3k $79k (exactly $79,147) Appeal Studios
Midnight Mahjong older $6.99 227 64% 6.8k $48k (exactly $47,602) AleCubicSoft
Cheater's Table · EA $6.99 69 95% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) Lagari
NaziShoot older $4.99 23 47% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) EcoShooter
Relaxing VR Games: Mahjong older $2.99 24 33% 720 $2.2k (exactly $2,153) CrazyBunch
The Good, The Bad & The Monkey $5.99 6 100% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Take Away Interactive
Sex Adventure - The Board Game older $2.99 12 41% 360 $1.1k (exactly $1,076) CritoGames
STAB! · EA $0.99 16 100% 480 $475 (exactly $475) mightyraccoon! Studios
RouletteCircus · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) StudioMohaji
Phase Party · EA $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Estimado Studio
Buttons Deathline $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Blackblood Games
Fool's Pub · EA $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) NOSTRA.GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.