Games › Diplomacy › Diplomacy + Board Game
Should I ship a Board Game Diplomacy game?
Diplomacy + Board Game
Only 7 developers shipped a Board Game Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Guilty as Sock!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $790k, ×1271 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) |
| Top 25% | $97k (exactly $97,151) |
| Top 5% | $798k (exactly $797,940) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 12 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Diplomacy
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Board Game
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Diplomacy, Board Game
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 12,477 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Diplomacy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + Space SimLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
Comparable games
Solium Infernum 2024 · $1.9M 
A Game of Thrones: The Board Game - Digital Edition 2020 · $1.0M 
Guilty as Sock! 2025 · $798k 
Twilight Struggle 2016 · $770k 
Nexus 5X 2024 · $398k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Solium Infernum | older | $39.99 | 1,571 88% | 47k | $1.9M (exactly $1,884,729) | League of Geeks |
| | A Game of Thrones: The Board Game - Digital Edition | older | $19.99 | 1,705 71% | 51k | $1.0M (exactly $1,022,488) | Dire Wolf |
| | Guilty as Sock! | $5.50 | 4,836 89% | 145k | $798k (exactly $797,940) | Demon Max | |
| | Twilight Struggle | older | $9.99 | 2,568 86% | 77k | $770k (exactly $769,630) | Playdek, Inc. |
| | Nexus 5X | older | $14.99 | 884 90% | 27k | $398k (exactly $397,535) | Whatboy Games |
 | Mr. President | $19.99 | 162 75% | 4.9k | $97k (exactly $97,151) | Exia Labs | |
 | Lux Delux | older | $9.99 | 237 81% | 7.1k | $71k (exactly $71,029) | Sillysoft Games |
 | Precipice | older | $7.99 | 291 81% | 8.7k | $70k (exactly $69,753) | LRDGames, Inc. |
 | Strategy & Tactics: Dark Ages | older | $14.99 | 150 61% | 4.5k | $67k (exactly $67,455) | HeroLabs |
 | Folk Emerging | $24.99 | 73 86% | 2.2k | $55k (exactly $54,728) | Curious Dynamics | |
 | Shadow President | $5.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) | D. C. True | |
 | Citadels - Shadow City | $3.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $479 (exactly $479) | SERGEI MIRONOV | |
 | World War Forex | · EA | $12.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $390 (exactly $390) | Leobot Electronics, Leon Botha, INESSOFT |
 | Clairval | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Alpharkane |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.