Should I ship a BMX Sports game?
BMX + Sports
Only 14 developers shipped a BMX Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, STORROR Parkour Pro, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×8.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×1916 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 14 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.0k (exactly $1,008) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.1k (exactly $5,100) |
| Top 25% | $103k (exactly $102,981) |
| Top 5% | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 50 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- BMX, Sports; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Character Customization, Physics, Action
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 3,259 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
BMX with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Riders Republic | older | $39.99 | 30,458 81% | 914k | $37M (exactly $36,540,463) | Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa) |
| | Descenders | older | $24.99 | 19,836 95% | 595k | $15M (exactly $14,871,049) | RageSquid |
| | BMX Streets | older | $24.99 | 4,366 80% | 131k | $3.3M (exactly $3,273,190) | Mash Games |
| | PIPE by BMX Streets | older | $9.99 | 5,351 92% | 161k | $1.6M (exactly $1,603,695) | Mash Games |
| | STORROR Parkour Pro | · EA | $24.99 | 1,605 71% | 48k | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) | Hole in the Sleeve Game Studios |
| | MAVRIX by Matt Jones | $39.99 | 969 80% | 29k | $1.2M (exactly $1,162,509) | Third Kind Games | |
| | BMX The Game | · EA older | $24.99 | 448 60% | 13k | $336k (exactly $335,866) | Barspin Studios |
| | The Ramp | older | $5.99 | 1,104 95% | 33k | $198k (exactly $198,389) | Paul Schnepf |
| | Streetdog BMX | $24.99 | 196 94% | 5.9k | $147k (exactly $146,941) | Yeah Us! Games | |
| | VMX | · EA | $14.99 | 229 89% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Break Free Interactive |
| | Skatehouse | $9.99 | 123 94% | 3.7k | $37k (exactly $36,863) | Tyler Ray Games | |
| | BMX Bastards | · EA | $16.99 | 71 85% | 2.1k | $36k (exactly $36,189) | CSF Games Studio |
| | Jumbo Scooter | $5.00 | 34 85% | 1.0k | $5.1k (exactly $5,100) | BepeDev | |
| | pedalverse | $4.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | FuristicStudio | |
| | Legends BMX | $9.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Saga Legends Games | |
| | Ride It! | $2.80 | 12 100% | 360 | $1.0k (exactly $1,008) | dpm, Revi, GatoHolguera |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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