Should I ship an Action BMX game?
BMX + Action
Only 8 developers shipped an Action BMX game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, STORROR Parkour Pro, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $5.6k against a market of $630. 6 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.6k (exactly $5,626) |
| Top 25% | $1.2M (exactly $1,162,509) |
| Top 5% | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 6 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3185% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- BMX, Action
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 55,762 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
BMX with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Riders Republic | older | $39.99 | 30,458 81% | 914k | $37M (exactly $36,540,463) | Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa) |
| | Descenders | older | $24.99 | 19,836 95% | 595k | $15M (exactly $14,871,049) | RageSquid |
| | STORROR Parkour Pro | · EA | $24.99 | 1,605 71% | 48k | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) | Hole in the Sleeve Game Studios |
| | MAVRIX by Matt Jones | $39.99 | 969 80% | 29k | $1.2M (exactly $1,162,509) | Third Kind Games | |
| | Amazing Frog? 2 | · EA older | $19.99 | 726 77% | 22k | $435k (exactly $435,382) | Fayju |
| | BMX The Game | · EA older | $24.99 | 448 60% | 13k | $336k (exactly $335,866) | Barspin Studios |
| | The Ramp | older | $5.99 | 1,104 95% | 33k | $198k (exactly $198,389) | Paul Schnepf |
| | VMX | · EA | $14.99 | 229 89% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Break Free Interactive |
| | Motordoom | older | $13.99 | 174 94% | 5.2k | $73k (exactly $73,028) | Hobo Cat Games |
| | Shred! 2 - ft Sam Pilgrim | older | $9.99 | 213 86% | 6.4k | $64k (exactly $63,836) | ASBO Interactive |
| | Bananitro | $3.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $5.6k (exactly $5,626) | Inventario | |
| | pedalverse | $4.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | FuristicStudio | |
| | Legends BMX | $9.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Saga Legends Games | |
| | Hydrofoil Surfing | $4.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Nightwork Studios | |
| | Pedals in Panic | $4.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | MOJODYNAMIC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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