Should I ship a BMX Racing game?
BMX + Racing
Only 7 developers shipped a BMX Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, STORROR Parkour Pro, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $5.6k against a market of $630. 13 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.6k (exactly $5,626) |
| Top 25% | $1.2M (exactly $1,162,509) |
| Top 5% | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3185% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- BMX, Racing
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 53,637 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
BMX with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
Comparable games
Riders Republic 2023 · $37M 
Descenders 2019 · $15M 
STORROR Parkour Pro 2025 · EA · $1.2M 
MAVRIX by Matt Jones 2026 · $1.2M 
VMX 2026 · EA · $103k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Riders Republic | older | $39.99 | 30,458 81% | 914k | $37M (exactly $36,540,463) | Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa) |
| | Descenders | older | $24.99 | 19,836 95% | 595k | $15M (exactly $14,871,049) | RageSquid |
| | STORROR Parkour Pro | · EA | $24.99 | 1,605 71% | 48k | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) | Hole in the Sleeve Game Studios |
| | MAVRIX by Matt Jones | $39.99 | 969 80% | 29k | $1.2M (exactly $1,162,509) | Third Kind Games | |
| | VMX | · EA | $14.99 | 229 89% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Break Free Interactive |
 | Shred! 2 - ft Sam Pilgrim | older | $9.99 | 213 86% | 6.4k | $64k (exactly $63,836) | ASBO Interactive |
 | BIKEOUT | older | $24.99 | 75 42% | 2.3k | $56k (exactly $56,228) | Black Swan |
 | Draw Rider | older | $9.99 | 130 70% | 3.9k | $39k (exactly $38,961) | 17Studio |
 | Shred! Remastered | older | $4.99 | 100 59% | 3.0k | $15k (exactly $14,970) | ASBO Interactive |
 | Downhill Pro Racer | · EA older | $12.99 | 22 77% | 660 | $8.6k (exactly $8,573) | Germán de la Fuente |
 | Bananitro | $3.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $5.6k (exactly $5,626) | Inventario | |
 | pedalverse | $4.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | FuristicStudio | |
 | Legends BMX | $9.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Saga Legends Games | |
 | MonoRace | $14.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | SIA BASE LOGIC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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