Should I ship an Arcade BMX game?
BMX + Arcade
Only 8 developers shipped an Arcade BMX game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, STORROR Parkour Pro, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×8.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×1916 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.0k (exactly $1,008) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.1k (exactly $5,100) |
| Top 25% | $147k (exactly $146,941) |
| Top 5% | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- BMX, Arcade
- Price point
- $5.00 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 4,154 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
BMX with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
Comparable games
STORROR Parkour Pro 2025 · EA · $1.2M 
Amazing Frog? 2 2022 · EA · $435k 
The Ramp 2021 · $198k 
Streetdog BMX 2026 · $147k 
Motordoom 2024 · $73k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | STORROR Parkour Pro | · EA | $24.99 | 1,605 71% | 48k | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) | Hole in the Sleeve Game Studios |
| | Amazing Frog? 2 | · EA older | $19.99 | 726 77% | 22k | $435k (exactly $435,382) | Fayju |
| | The Ramp | older | $5.99 | 1,104 95% | 33k | $198k (exactly $198,389) | Paul Schnepf |
| | Streetdog BMX | $24.99 | 196 94% | 5.9k | $147k (exactly $146,941) | Yeah Us! Games | |
| | Motordoom | older | $13.99 | 174 94% | 5.2k | $73k (exactly $73,028) | Hobo Cat Games |
 | STREET UNi X | older | $19.99 | 78 96% | 2.3k | $47k (exactly $46,777) | daffodil & friends |
 | Draw Rider | older | $9.99 | 130 70% | 3.9k | $39k (exactly $38,961) | 17Studio |
 | Shred! Remastered | older | $4.99 | 100 59% | 3.0k | $15k (exactly $14,970) | ASBO Interactive |
 | California Games (C64/DOS/Atari/Lynx/NES/SMS/Genesis) | older | $9.99 | 23 69% | 690 | $6.9k (exactly $6,893) | Epyx, Inc. |
 | Down Fast VR | · EA older | $11.99 | 18 27% | 540 | $6.5k (exactly $6,475) | HomeBrewGames |
 | Bananitro | $3.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $5.6k (exactly $5,626) | Inventario | |
 | Jumbo Scooter | $5.00 | 34 85% | 1.0k | $5.1k (exactly $5,100) | BepeDev | |
 | pedalverse | $4.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | FuristicStudio | |
 | Ride It! | $2.80 | 12 100% | 360 | $1.0k (exactly $1,008) | dpm, Revi, GatoHolguera | |
 | Hydrofoil Surfing | $4.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Nightwork Studios | |
 | MonoRace | $14.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | SIA BASE LOGIC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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