Games › BMX › BMX + Simulation
Should I ship a Simulation BMX game?
BMX + Simulation
Only 7 developers shipped a Simulation BMX game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, STORROR Parkour Pro, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $5.1k against a market of $630. 13 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.1k (exactly $5,100) |
| Top 25% | $37k (exactly $36,863) |
| Top 5% | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- BMX
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Simulation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- BMX, Simulation
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 64,099 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
BMX with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
Comparable games
Riders Republic 2023 · $37M 
Descenders 2019 · $15M 
BMX Streets 2024 · $3.3M 
PIPE by BMX Streets 2018 · $1.6M 
STORROR Parkour Pro 2025 · EA · $1.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Riders Republic | older | $39.99 | 30,458 81% | 914k | $37M (exactly $36,540,463) | Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa) |
| | Descenders | older | $24.99 | 19,836 95% | 595k | $15M (exactly $14,871,049) | RageSquid |
| | BMX Streets | older | $24.99 | 4,366 80% | 131k | $3.3M (exactly $3,273,190) | Mash Games |
| | PIPE by BMX Streets | older | $9.99 | 5,351 92% | 161k | $1.6M (exactly $1,603,695) | Mash Games |
| | STORROR Parkour Pro | · EA | $24.99 | 1,605 71% | 48k | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) | Hole in the Sleeve Game Studios |
 | Amazing Frog? 2 | · EA older | $19.99 | 726 77% | 22k | $435k (exactly $435,382) | Fayju |
 | BMX The Game | · EA older | $24.99 | 448 60% | 13k | $336k (exactly $335,866) | Barspin Studios |
 | The Ramp | older | $5.99 | 1,104 95% | 33k | $198k (exactly $198,389) | Paul Schnepf |
 | BIKEOUT | older | $24.99 | 75 42% | 2.3k | $56k (exactly $56,228) | Black Swan |
 | Draw Rider | older | $9.99 | 130 70% | 3.9k | $39k (exactly $38,961) | 17Studio |
 | Skatehouse | $9.99 | 123 94% | 3.7k | $37k (exactly $36,863) | Tyler Ray Games | |
 | BMX Bastards | · EA | $16.99 | 71 85% | 2.1k | $36k (exactly $36,189) | CSF Games Studio |
 | Jumbo Scooter | $5.00 | 34 85% | 1.0k | $5.1k (exactly $5,100) | BepeDev | |
 | pedalverse | $4.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | FuristicStudio | |
 | Bike Park Simulator: BMX, Dirt Jump & MTB | · EA | $7.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | Hard Shark Games |
 | Pedals in Panic | $4.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | MOJODYNAMIC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.