Do I ship it?

GamesBilliardsBilliards + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop Billiards game?

Billiards + Tabletop

Only 15 developers shipped a Tabletop Billiards game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Nine-Ball Roulette, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180, ×0.4 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×544 the market median. Revenue is up 1710% on the market; 9 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 1710% on the market, 9 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Billiards + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $598 → $109k → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Billiards + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 5% $258k (exactly $258,432)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 31
Announced 9
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1710% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Billiards
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Billiards, Tabletop
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 87% positive over 2,717 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Billiards with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PvPFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  2. + ActionFair19 devs · median $958 · 25 announced
  3. + PhysicsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced
  4. + StrategyFair26 devs · median $538 · 25 announced
  5. + SportsFair34 devs · median $450 · 23 announced
  6. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackPoor odds7 devs · median $90 · 4 announced
  8. + PuzzleDead7 devs · median $1.0k · 6 announced
  9. + SimulationDead23 devs · median $180 · 13 announced

All 9 pairs on the Billiards page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nine-Ball Roulette $3.99 2,159 88% 65k $258k (exactly $258,432) WaveBox Labs
Flick Shot Rogues $14.99 295 87% 8.9k $133k (exactly $132,662) Butter By The Fish
Drop Pockets · EA $14.99 243 83% 7.3k $109k (exactly $109,277) Children of Madness
Laruaville 11 Match 3 Puzzle older $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) LGT SIA
Blastboard older $1.99 45 95% 1.4k $2.7k (exactly $2,686) Enigmatic Network
Biida-Bash $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Silver Thumb Games
Carom Billiards older $4.99 11 18% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Pix Arts
Snooker Billiard $24.99 2 50% 60 $1.5k (exactly $1,499) DotStudio
Disc Dungeon $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Fire Titan Games
Carrom Slam! older $5.99 6 100% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Dinahsoft ltd.
Finger Soccer · EA $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Hard Shark Games
CUEQUENCE $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Bison Forge Interactive
Game Room $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Games For Humans
Pool Ball Battle Royale $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Kiran M, CrazyPenguin0111

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.