Do I ship it?

GamesArcadeArcade + Billiards

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Billiards Arcade game?

Arcade + Billiards

Of 28 developers who shipped a Billiards Arcade game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $90. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 24 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 24 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Billiards
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $4.2k → $3.1k → $1.2k → $0 → $119 → $538 (still earning) → $420 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arcade + Billiards: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 5% $95k (exactly $95,320)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 76
Announced 24
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Billiards
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Arcade, Billiards; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Physics, Sports, 4 Player Local
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 2D, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 671 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $95k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + FaithFair16 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  6. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  9. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  11. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  12. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cue Club 2: Pool & Snooker older $18.99 858 90% 26k $489k (exactly $488,803) Bulldog Interactive
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
Rabbit Burn older $14.99 680 89% 20k $306k (exactly $305,796) Bio Sapiens
Drop Pockets · EA $14.99 243 83% 7.3k $109k (exactly $109,277) Children of Madness
Ultrapool $11.99 265 88% 8.0k $95k (exactly $95,320) Icedrop Games
POOOOL older $4.99 264 91% 7.9k $40k (exactly $39,521) Noah King
Nock older $19.99 49 87% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) Normal
All-In-One Summer Sports VR · EA older $19.99 45 84% 1.4k $27k (exactly $26,986) Appnori Inc.
ForeVR Pool VR older $19.99 33 57% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) ForeVR Games Inc
3D Pool older $6.99 46 52% 1.4k $9.6k (exactly $9,646) Z-Software GmbH
Wizard Pool $2.99 66 84% 2.0k $5.9k (exactly $5,920) Grouch, SuitNtie, Negative Karma
Glass Cannon $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) LisiSoft
Billgard $3.99 24 95% 720 $2.9k (exactly $2,873) Triflgard
Pool 2 $4.99 14 92% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Felix Li
SplitPool $4.99 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Bindus Games
Pool · EA $5.99 6 33% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Hard Shark Games
CarCam $3.99 8 25% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Movcans Vadims
Stellar Golf $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Fort Chuck Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.