Do I ship it?

GamesStrategyStrategy + Billiards

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Billiards Strategy game?

Strategy + Billiards

Of 26 developers who shipped a Billiards Strategy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 25 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 25 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy + Billiards
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $4.3k → $3.2k → $539 → $299 (still earning) → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy + Billiards: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $538 (exactly $538)
Top 25% $3.2k (exactly $3,235)
Top 5% $109k (exactly $109,277)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 55
Announced 25
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Billiards
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy, Billiards; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Physics, Roguelike, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 2D, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 914 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $540, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair62 devs · median $16k · 74 announced
  3. + BaseballFair14 devs · median $7.5k · 7 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Fair89 devs · median $6.7k · 91 announced
  5. + WuxiaFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 41 announced
  6. + FarmingFair44 devs · median $4.3k · 42 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 94 announced
  8. + SubmarineFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  9. + NavalFair66 devs · median $2.2k · 88 announced
  10. + IdlerFair696 devs · median $1.9k · 988 announced
  11. + Shop KeeperFair159 devs · median $1.8k · 264 announced
  12. + HackingFair96 devs · median $1.2k · 132 announced

All 275 pairs on the Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Who's Your Daddy?! older $9.99 25,797 80% 774k $7.7M (exactly $7,731,361) Evil Tortilla Games
Sports Bar VR older $19.99 784 83% 24k $470k (exactly $470,165) Cherry Pop Games, Perilous Orbit
Pool Nation older $6.99 2,208 89% 66k $463k (exactly $463,018) Cherry Pop Games
Flick Shot Rogues $14.99 295 87% 8.9k $133k (exactly $132,662) Butter By The Fish
Drop Pockets · EA $14.99 243 83% 7.3k $109k (exactly $109,277) Children of Madness
Ultrapool $11.99 265 88% 8.0k $95k (exactly $95,320) Icedrop Games
Rack and Slay older $5.99 516 91% 15k $93k (exactly $92,725) Ludokultur
Snooker Nation Championship · EA older $3.99 308 62% 9.2k $37k (exactly $36,868) Cherry Pop Games
ForeVR Pool VR older $19.99 33 57% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) ForeVR Games Inc
Ringer $9.99 27 81% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Ideas Per Second
Dorts : A Darts Roguelike $8.99 23 100% 690 $6.2k (exactly $6,203) MovingPixels
Glass Cannon $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) LisiSoft
Crazy Robot Ball $5.99 18 100% 540 $3.2k (exactly $3,235) Blue Band Studio
Biida-Bash $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Silver Thumb Games
Snooker Billiard $24.99 2 50% 60 $1.5k (exactly $1,499) DotStudio
Disc Dungeon $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Fire Titan Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.