Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Auto Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Auto Battler?

Local Multiplayer + Auto Battler

Only 15 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Auto Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sit-Back Attack, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120, ×0.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. Revenue is down 65% on the market, with 9 games announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 9 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Auto Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $600 → $4.5k → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Auto Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $30k (exactly $29,667)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 33
Announced 9
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 175% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer, Auto Battler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Character Customization, Combat, PvP
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 9 games average 84% positive over 181 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $29k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Merge & Blade older $9.99 121 76% 3.6k $36k (exactly $36,264) Magic Cube
Sit-Back Attack · EA $8.99 110 78% 3.3k $30k (exactly $29,667) Stapleton
Super Toy Cars Offroad older $19.99 30 56% 900 $18k (exactly $17,991) Eclipse Games
Sons of Ra older $14.99 37 70% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) Pharaoh Hound Games
Shadowkin older $6.99 61 65% 1.8k $13k (exactly $12,792) The Fox Knocks
富甲天下2 older $3.90 49 91% 1.5k $5.7k (exactly $5,733) T-Time Technology CO., LTD.
Brutal Ball Manager 2 · EA $9.99 18 100% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Stout Kassel Games
Marshals of Yore $4.99 30 90% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) One Man Horde
Windmill Kings older $7.99 18 72% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Bigosaur
Insectum - Epic Battles of Bugs $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) DevilishGames, Famosa by Giochi Preziosi
Card Maker Simulator $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Níkolas Santos
お名前バトル $5.00 4 75% 120 $600 (exactly $600) 株式会社スタジオトリガー
Brainrot Fight $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Beijing Star Halo Technology Co., Ltd.
The Fallen Kingdoms $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Bugra Ozden
Impulse Reactor $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Ian Roberts
wozitdev's 3D Chess · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) wozitdev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.