Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Auto Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Auto Battler?

Collectathon + Auto Battler

Of 25 developers who shipped a Collectathon Auto Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×5.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $72k, ×153 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 36 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 36 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Auto Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $4.5k → $2.6k → $2.1k (still earning) → $9.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Auto Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 25% $9.6k (exactly $9,581)
Top 5% $73k (exactly $72,659)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 72
Announced 36
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 33%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Auto Battler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Combat, Crafting
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 1,116 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $9.5k, 1 in 20 over $72k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Botworld Odyssey $25.00 279 76% 8.4k $209k (exactly $209,250) Featherweight Games
Abyss Kitchen $11.99 202 89% 6.1k $73k (exactly $72,659) Pico Games
Thousand Floors $9.99 214 41% 6.4k $64k (exactly $64,136) 琥珀塔
Gold and Graves $5.99 180 86% 5.4k $32k (exactly $32,346) Yoon
Loot Hero DX older $2.99 338 71% 10k $30k (exactly $30,319) VaragtP
Tetra Tactics older $14.99 48 79% 1.4k $22k (exactly $21,586) Jabari Alii, Adrian Marple, manadream
Guildamation $14.99 36 75% 1.1k $16k (exactly $16,189) Hammerback Games
Journeybound Idle $12.99 33 84% 990 $13k (exactly $12,860) Max Luck Gaming
Royal Merchant older $4.99 75 62% 2.3k $11k (exactly $11,228) Badim
Idle Kitty $4.99 64 82% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) 狮子
Echoes of Vasteria $4.99 55 70% 1.7k $8.2k (exactly $8,234) Blindsided Games
Ultimate Blacksmith Tycoon ~The Appraiser-Shopkeeper Conquers the Blacksmith Trade~ · EA $14.99 15 80% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Quench Forge
Hang up Street $3.99 38 50% 1.1k $4.5k (exactly $4,549) FoxGame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.