Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer FPS?

FPS + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Only 6 developers shipped an Asynchronous Multiplayer FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hoofobia, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×20 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $7.2k against a market of $1.5k. 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 20 announced, ×20 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Asynchronous Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $22k → $900 → $7.3k → $119
Outcomes for FPS + Asynchronous Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $7.2k (exactly $7,193)
Top 25% $7.3k (exactly $7,302)
Top 5% $37k (exactly $37,327)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 25
Announced 20
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 85% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Asynchronous Multiplayer
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 3,838 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $7.2k, 1 in 4 over $7.3k, 1 in 20 over $37k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×20 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Meet Your Maker older $19.99 3,013 73% 90k $1.8M (exactly $1,806,896) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
Beat Aim - Rhythm FPS Trainer · EA older $14.99 210 89% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Kamyker
Hoofobia $6.99 178 68% 5.3k $37k (exactly $37,327) Deathyell Games
Zombieland VR: Headshot Fever older $19.99 62 83% 1.9k $37k (exactly $37,181) XR Games
PowerWash Adventure older $7.99 93 75% 2.8k $22k (exactly $22,292) Grass Digital Technology
PowerWash Adventure VR older $6.99 90 74% 2.7k $19k (exactly $18,873) Grass Digital Technology
United Assault - Battle of the Bulge older $14.99 34 44% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Polygon Art, Enigma Entertainment
Mannequin older $9.99 39 79% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) Fast Travel Games
Shooting Arena VR · EA older $12.99 28 85% 840 $11k (exactly $10,912) Infinity Studio
PaintBall War 2 older $3.99 91 50% 2.7k $11k (exactly $10,893) ShadowWolf Games
Erotic Rhythm $3.99 61 90% 1.8k $7.3k (exactly $7,302) Naku Kinoko
Shatterline $9.99 24 62% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Frag Lab LLC
Imposters $7.99 17 47% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Deathyell Games
World of PaintBall $2.99 7 28% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Color Games
Boo! Hunt · EA $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Deadsteel Studio
Maniac: Hunt or Be Hunted $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) vindiem

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.