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Should I ship an Assassin Interactive Fiction?
Interactive Fiction + Assassins
Only 14 developers shipped an Assassin Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BLACKWOOD, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×1.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×283 the market median. Revenue is up 360% on the market; 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $180 (exactly $180) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $11,324) |
| Top 5% | $424k (exactly $423,580) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 48 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 360% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Interactive Fiction
- effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
- Assassins
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Interactive Fiction
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,818 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Interactive Fiction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVFair
- + Match 3Fair
- + VampiresFair
- + SportsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + PiratesFair
- + DrivingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Board GameFair
- + SnowFair
- + BuildingFair
Comparable games
BLACKWOOD 2026 · $424k 
Evil School 2026 · $254k 
NO, THANK YOU!!! 2018 · $216k 
江华号 2023 · $40k 
French Crime Detective Game 2021 · $24k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | BLACKWOOD | $24.99 | 565 46% | 17k | $424k (exactly $423,580) | AttritoM7 Productions | |
| | Evil School | $7.99 | 1,058 92% | 32k | $254k (exactly $253,603) | CineGame Interactive | |
| | NO, THANK YOU!!! | older | $39.99 | 180 87% | 5.4k | $216k (exactly $215,946) | parade |
| | 江华号 | older | $9.99 | 132 70% | 4.0k | $40k (exactly $39,560) | 知音动漫 |
| | French Crime Detective Game | older | $19.99 | 40 92% | 1.2k | $24k (exactly $23,988) | Rakame 7 |
 | 1953 - KGB Unleashed | older | $2.99 | 218 63% | 6.5k | $20k (exactly $19,555) | · |
 | The Divine Deception | older | $14.99 | 38 86% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $17,089) | Themisian |
 | Grizzly Man | $8.99 | 52 90% | 1.6k | $14k (exactly $14,024) | LCB Game Studio | |
 | Immortal Mantis | older | $1.99 | 226 94% | 6.8k | $13k (exactly $13,492) | Bitlife |
 | Detective Penguin | $6.99 | 54 87% | 1.6k | $11k (exactly $11,324) | That Other Fish, That Fish | |
 | Midnight Saturn | $9.99 | 28 82% | 840 | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) | Cosmic Void | |
 | CrimeBot 2: Detective Mystery Games | $7.99 | 24 50% | 720 | $5.8k (exactly $5,753) | RoboBot Studio | |
 | Futa Night ⚔️ | $4.99 | 18 83% | 540 | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) | TheBigO Games | |
 | Circus of the Moon | $5.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) | Davter17 | |
 | My Oppai Mommy Makes Me Want To Spill All Of My Company Secrets | $6.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Peach Punch | |
 | Niut | $3.00 | 2 50% | 60 | $180 (exactly $180) | AF Works ® |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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