Games › Trading › Trading + Artificial Intelligence
Should I ship an AI Trading game?
Trading + Artificial Intelligence
Only 15 developers shipped an AI Trading game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BidKing, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $16k, ×33 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.9M, ×4199 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 26 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) |
|---|---|
| Median | $16k (exactly $15,588) |
| Top 25% | $37k (exactly $37,154) |
| Top 5% | $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 175% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Artificial Intelligence
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Trading
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 35% positive over 23,348 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + MiningFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + FlightPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + DrivingPoor odds
- + LootPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | BidKing | $2.99 | 22,238 33% | 667k | $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749) | MindSurge Network & Games | |
| | SuperPower 3 | older | $29.99 | 982 10% | 29k | $884k (exactly $883,505) | GolemLabs |
| | Wayward Terran Frontier: Zero Falls | · EA older | $29.99 | 487 66% | 15k | $438k (exactly $438,154) | Reason Generator Inc. |
| | Crypto Mining Simulator | older | $4.99 | 1,419 65% | 43k | $212k (exactly $212,424) | Satosha Nakamoti |
| | Hypermarket Simulator | · EA | $14.99 | 423 80% | 13k | $190k (exactly $190,223) | Croissant Games |
| | TCG Multiplayer Card Shop Simulator | · EA | $12.99 | 198 54% | 5.9k | $77k (exactly $77,161) | Alkame Games |
| | Rugby Union Team Manager 4 | older | $39.99 | 60 70% | 1.8k | $72k (exactly $71,982) | Alternative Software Ltd |
| | Tennis Manager 2021 | older | $9.99 | 191 75% | 5.7k | $57k (exactly $57,243) | Rebound |
| | King of Jade: Stone Tycoon | $7.99 | 155 81% | 4.7k | $37k (exactly $37,154) | 909Game | |
| | Grand MALL Simulator | · EA | $5.99 | 134 79% | 4.0k | $24k (exactly $24,080) | Minds2Bros |
| | Loot & Ledger | $11.99 | 63 71% | 1.9k | $23k (exactly $22,661) | Eddy | |
| | Smoke & Lottery Simulator | $9.99 | 57 85% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $17,083) | EdenStudio | |
| | European Logistics Tycoon | $12.99 | 40 65% | 1.2k | $16k (exactly $15,588) | Warnicke Gamedesign | |
| | RolemIAster | · EA | $5.99 | 23 56% | 690 | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) | ABAFE |
| | BookStore Simulator | $7.99 | 17 41% | 510 | $4.1k (exactly $4,075) | Dark Mind |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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