Do I ship it?

GamesRunnerRunner + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Runner?

Runner + Artificial Intelligence

Only 9 developers shipped an AI Runner in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Vanguard - Idle Auto Battler, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $60 against a market of $480. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 10 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Runner + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Runner + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $60 (exactly $60)
Top 25% $120 (exactly $120)
Top 5% $628 (exactly $628)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 45
Announced 10
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $1.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Runner
Price point
$1.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 54% positive over 74 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $60, 1 in 4 over $120, 1 in 20 over $620.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Runner with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 10 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced
  3. + PsychologicalFair14 devs · median $839 · 12 announced
  4. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $838 · 8 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair12 devs · median $750 · 11 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair15 devs · median $599 · 10 announced
  7. + FPSLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  8. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds12 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  9. + MusicPoor odds16 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds38 devs · median $1.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $898 · 64 announced
  12. + Interactive FictionPoor odds10 devs · median $839 · 16 announced

All 123 pairs on the Runner page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dungeon Warriors · EA older $5.99 25 52% 750 $4.5k (exactly $4,492) FireStone Studio
MTBF · EA older $7.99 6 100% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Grabba Guild Games LLC
Synthwave FURY older $2.99 13 30% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) New England Interactive
MOF · EA older $11.99 3 0% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) GPC_DEV
The Netrunner Awaken1ng older $11.99 3 66% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Cube Overflow
ENGLISH A-GAME older $15.00 2 50% 60 $900 (exactly $900) Jankowski Adam
Mini Kart Racing older $3.99 6 33% 180 $718 (exactly $718) IronyDev
Vanguard - Idle Auto Battler $2.99 7 57% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Beep2Bleep
Escape From The Sun older $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) SpaceGames
Highway Speeder older $3.99 5 80% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Bundem Games
Triple Jump $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Lee Saenz
Warp Dash $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Adweb
SlimeIsland $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) ZHOU YANG
Green Realm $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) GameNote
Loreen's Purgatory $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Omega Gaming
Echo Stalker $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Riga
LabyrAInth · EA $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) G.U.F.O. Games
FALL $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Wise In A Well

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.