Do I ship it?

GamesMOBAMOBA + Arena Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arena Shooter MOBA?

MOBA + Arena Shooter

Only 9 developers shipped a paid Arena Shooter MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Last Flag, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 43 more are announced, ×14 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $360 against a market of $1.3k. 43 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 800% on the market, 43 announced, ×14 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + Arena Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MOBA + Arena Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $225 (exactly $225)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,594)
Top 5% $86k (exactly $86,227)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 56
Announced 43
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 800% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 55%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA, Arena Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,638 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $230, median $360, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $86k.

3 in 10 developers made under $230. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×14 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 44 announced
  3. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds19 devs · median $600 · 57 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  12. + SurvivalDead6 devs · median $31k · 22 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Monday Night Combat older $4.99 912 81% 27k $137k (exactly $136,526) Uber Entertainment
Last Flag $4.99 576 73% 17k $86k (exactly $86,227) Night Street Games
FMTC $7.00 75 78% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,750) FMTC
Cyber Clutch: Hot Import Nights $19.99 21 61% 630 $13k (exactly $12,594) Gunpowder Games, Focuspoint Studios
BLOCKED ZONA older $19.99 21 100% 630 $13k (exactly $12,594) Nikita Morti
Sentry:Obelisk Of Dawn older $19.99 6 100% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Guangzhou NineD Digital Technology Co.,… (Guangzhou NineD Digital Technology Co.,Ltd)
WizardPunk older $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) City Wizard Games
Harpoon Arena $5.99 10 90% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) FairGoose
Sky Captain's Return older $10.99 3 33% 90 $989 (exactly $989) Pixeltale Motion
Append older $4.95 3 100% 90 $446 (exactly $446) FreezeLance AB
Fireworks-Bomb-GoodFriends $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) MentalHospital
Attack on Steel $3.99 3 0% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Filet Studio
FastMoBa $2.50 3 100% 90 $225 (exactly $225) Nguyen Thanh Chinh
KunlunWonderland $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) He WenYuan
Squad Raid $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Chen Jie

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.