Games › MOBA › MOBA + Arena Shooter
Should I ship an Arena Shooter MOBA?
MOBA + Arena Shooter
Only 9 developers shipped a paid Arena Shooter MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Last Flag, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 43 more are announced, ×14 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $360 against a market of $1.3k. 43 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $225 (exactly $225) |
|---|---|
| Median | $359 (exactly $359) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $12,594) |
| Top 5% | $86k (exactly $86,227) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 56 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 800% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 55%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- MOBA
- effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
- Arena Shooter
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MOBA, Arena Shooter
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,638 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $230. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×14 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterDead
- + SurvivalDead
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Monday Night Combat | older | $4.99 | 912 81% | 27k | $137k (exactly $136,526) | Uber Entertainment |
| | Last Flag | $4.99 | 576 73% | 17k | $86k (exactly $86,227) | Night Street Games | |
| | FMTC | $7.00 | 75 78% | 2.3k | $16k (exactly $15,750) | FMTC | |
| | Cyber Clutch: Hot Import Nights | $19.99 | 21 61% | 630 | $13k (exactly $12,594) | Gunpowder Games, Focuspoint Studios | |
| | BLOCKED ZONA | older | $19.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $13k (exactly $12,594) | Nikita Morti |
| | Sentry:Obelisk Of Dawn | older | $19.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) | Guangzhou NineD Digital Technology Co.,… (Guangzhou NineD Digital Technology Co.,Ltd) |
| | WizardPunk | older | $9.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | City Wizard Games |
| | Harpoon Arena | $5.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) | FairGoose | |
| | Sky Captain's Return | older | $10.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $989 (exactly $989) | Pixeltale Motion |
| | Append | older | $4.95 | 3 100% | 90 | $446 (exactly $446) | FreezeLance AB |
| | Fireworks-Bomb-GoodFriends | $5.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | MentalHospital | |
| | Attack on Steel | $3.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | Filet Studio | |
| | FastMoBa | $2.50 | 3 100% | 90 | $225 (exactly $225) | Nguyen Thanh Chinh | |
| | KunlunWonderland | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | He WenYuan | |
| | Squad Raid | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Chen Jie |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.