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Should I ship an Alien Split Screen game?
Split Screen + Aliens
Only 5 developers shipped an Alien Split Screen game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Chip ‘n Clawz vs. The Brainioids, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $12k against a market of $630. 14 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $12k (exactly $12,425) |
| Top 25% | $44k (exactly $44,426) |
| Top 5% | $81k (exactly $80,973) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Split Screen
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Aliens
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Split Screen
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 56,453 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 14 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Split Screen with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Automobile SimStrong odds
- + DrivingFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + HorrorFair
- + SportsFair
- + RPGFair
- + Score AttackLong shot
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Serious Sam 3: BFE | older | $29.99 | 21,834 87% | 655k | $20M (exactly $19,644,050) | Croteam |
| | EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5 | older | $59.99 | 9,375 93% | 281k | $17M (exactly $16,872,188) | SANDLOT |
| | STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection | older | $35.01 | 7,125 23% | 214k | $7.5M (exactly $7,483,388) | Aspyr |
| | EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 4.1 The Shadow of New Despair | older | $19.99 | 7,776 95% | 233k | $4.7M (exactly $4,663,267) | SANDLOT |
| | STAR WARS™ Battlefront | older | $19.99 | 5,190 79% | 156k | $3.1M (exactly $3,112,443) | DICE |
| | EARTH DEFENSE FORCE: IRON RAIN | older | $59.99 | 1,256 58% | 38k | $2.3M (exactly $2,260,423) | YUKE'S |
| | Turok 2: Seeds of Evil | older | $19.99 | 2,385 91% | 72k | $1.4M (exactly $1,430,284) | Iguana Entertainment, Nightdive Studios |
| | Space Beast Terror Fright | older | $14.99 | 1,255 91% | 38k | $564k (exactly $564,374) | nornware AB |
| | Chip ‘n Clawz vs. The Brainioids | $29.99 | 90 83% | 2.7k | $81k (exactly $80,973) | Snapshot Games Inc. | |
| | It came from space and ate our brains | older | $9.99 | 167 79% | 5.0k | $50k (exactly $50,050) | Triangle Studios |
| | MeowGun: Hell Denizen | $12.99 | 114 98% | 3.4k | $44k (exactly $44,426) | SusaDeBastet | |
| | Live Hard, Die Hard | $4.99 | 83 89% | 2.5k | $12k (exactly $12,425) | Asobism.Co.,Ltd | |
| | Full Spectrum Gradient | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Volcanic Penguin | |
| | ALYUP | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | HashMO Interactive |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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