Do I ship it?

GamesSpectacle fighterSpectacle fighter + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + Aliens

Only 6 developers shipped an Alien Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Genokids, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $660 against a market of $1.5k. 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 95% on the market, 13 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $657 (exactly $657)
Top 25% $6.2k (exactly $6,235)
Top 5% $131k (exactly $130,735)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 26
Announced 13
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 727 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $660, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 13 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  9. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  11. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Genokids · EA $19.99 218 98% 6.5k $131k (exactly $130,735) Nukefist
Aeon Must Die! older $19.99 100 51% 3.0k $60k (exactly $59,970) Limestone Games
Space Channel 5 VR Kinda Funky News Flash! older $24.99 74 94% 2.2k $55k (exactly $55,478) Grounding Inc.
Space Gray X older $29.99 40 80% 1.2k $36k (exactly $35,988) Galactic Geckon
Nelo · EA older $4.99 139 69% 4.2k $21k (exactly $20,808) Magic and Mirrors
The Siege of Brimir · EA older $11.99 49 71% 1.5k $18k (exactly $17,625) Anden Studios
Make War older $5.99 47 51% 1.4k $8.4k (exactly $8,446) Creepy Brothers
Grimstar: Crystals are the New Oil! $12.99 16 68% 480 $6.2k (exactly $6,235) SvenRahn Games
Celestial Force: Magical Mayhem · EA older $7.99 18 100% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Mew Mew Media
Myasoid older $4.99 26 88% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Fasu Studio
Virus Hunter $1.99 11 81% 330 $657 (exactly $657) Matsusoft
Japanese Psycho $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Ghost_RUS Games
Apocalypse of the Universe $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) v.a.c.u.u.m.
StarCalibur $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Secret Sign

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.