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Should I ship an Alien Multiple Endings game?
Multiple Endings + Aliens
Of 62 developers who shipped an Alien Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 121 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $740, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×243 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 121 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $742 (exactly $742) |
| Top 25% | $8.6k (exactly $8,635) |
| Top 5% | $115k (exactly $115,454) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 62 |
| Released games | 172 |
| Announced | 121 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Aliens
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Multiple Endings; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 3,144 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 33 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 121 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WuxiaFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + GamblingFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
Comparable games
The Invincible 2023 · $9.0M 
1000xRESIST 2024 · $3.2M 
Directive 8020 2026 · $2.0M 
Star Control®: Origins 2018 · $1.2M 
Angel at Dusk 2024 · $754k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Invincible | older | $29.99 | 10,055 87% | 302k | $9.0M (exactly $9,046,484) | Starward Industries |
| | 1000xRESIST | older | $19.99 | 5,310 96% | 159k | $3.2M (exactly $3,184,407) | sunset visitor 斜陽過客 |
| | Directive 8020 | $49.99 | 1,337 63% | 40k | $2.0M (exactly $2,005,099) | Supermassive Games | |
| | Star Control®: Origins | older | $19.99 | 2,067 74% | 62k | $1.2M (exactly $1,239,580) | Stardock Entertainment |
| | Angel at Dusk | older | $14.99 | 1,676 98% | 50k | $754k (exactly $753,697) | Akiragoya |
 | The Fermi Paradox | · EA older | $18.99 | 956 76% | 29k | $545k (exactly $544,633) | Anomaly Games |
 | The Symbiant | older | $19.99 | 785 95% | 24k | $471k (exactly $470,764) | HeartCoreDev |
 | Lightracer Spark | older | $12.99 | 970 83% | 29k | $378k (exactly $378,009) | Smartmelon Games |
 | Zexion | $19.99 | 528 90% | 16k | $317k (exactly $316,642) | Gallant Leaf | |
 | Unusual Findings | older | $19.99 | 426 87% | 13k | $255k (exactly $255,472) | Epic Llama Games |
 | Elroy and the Aliens | $17.99 | 463 97% | 14k | $250k (exactly $249,881) | Motiviti | |
 | Galaxy Princess Zorana | $24.99 | 154 88% | 4.6k | $115k (exactly $115,454) | Hanako Games | |
 | Dead in Antares | $19.99 | 189 77% | 5.7k | $113k (exactly $113,343) | Ishtar Games | |
 | MARVEL MaXimum Collection | $24.99 | 111 76% | 3.3k | $83k (exactly $83,217) | Limited Run Games | |
 | 閃攻機人アスラ - ASURA THE STRIKER - | $14.99 | 145 91% | 4.4k | $65k (exactly $65,206) | LeftOver | |
 | R-Type Delta: HD Boosted | $24.99 | 86 81% | 2.6k | $64k (exactly $64,474) | CITY CONNECTION, TAKE×0FF | |
 | Breed Laboratory | $14.99 | 76 86% | 2.3k | $34k (exactly $34,177) | Moey | |
 | Night of The Black Goat | $19.99 | 55 83% | 1.7k | $33k (exactly $32,984) | サークルREN |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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