Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture FPS?

FPS + Agriculture

Only 10 developers shipped an Agriculture FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Zombie Graveyard Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $750 against a market of $1.5k. 24 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 24 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $31k → $718
Outcomes for FPS + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $750 (exactly $750)
Top 25% $9.4k (exactly $9,352)
Top 5% $362k (exactly $362,008)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 31
Announced 24
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Agriculture
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 926 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $750, 1 in 4 over $9.3k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Zompiercer · EA older $19.99 4,562 88% 137k $2.7M (exactly $2,735,831) DDDimanN
Zombie Graveyard Simulator $14.99 805 89% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) threeW
Dong-Jin Rice-hime(東津萌米) older $19.99 352 90% 11k $211k (exactly $211,094) STORIA, Narrator, SimonCreative
Twins of the Pasture older $7.99 278 74% 8.3k $67k (exactly $66,637) Dieselmine
Crazy Islands $13.99 73 68% 2.2k $31k (exactly $30,638) Ge-Aivan
仙道孤旅 · EA older $8.99 53 84% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,294) 仙道
Garden Of Mooj older $14.99 23 69% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Kcfos
Farm Supply Simulator 25 · EA $11.99 26 84% 780 $9.4k (exactly $9,352) Superwolf Game Studio, Lycan Arts
South America Gold Rush · EA $9.99 9 44% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Argo Games
Farmland Realm older $0.99 79 56% 2.4k $2.3k (exactly $2,346) Leakage Games
A Package For Space · EA $24.99 1 100% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Reading Time Studio
Smoke Shop Simulator · EA $3.99 6 0% 180 $718 (exactly $718) Anka Games
Chick Game $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 1CHAAAIN, BLOCKCHAAAIN
The S.H.O.W. $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) SGS
Holy Carrot Simulator $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Lunar Code Studio
Chicken Up $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Chunky Cats Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.