Games › Adventure › Adventure + Snow
Should I ship a Snow Adventure game?
Adventure + Snow
Of 88 developers who shipped a Snow Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 140 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×614 the market median. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 140 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) |
| Top 25% | $6.7k (exactly $6,742) |
| Top 5% | $291k (exactly $291,454) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 88 |
| Released games | 241 |
| Announced | 140 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Adventure; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Survival, Crafting
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 9,574 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 43 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 140 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SamuraiFair
- + FMVFair
- + PinballFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + SportsFair
- + GolfFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
Comparable games
SnowRunner 2021 · $42M 
Steep™ 2016 · $28M 
Project Winter 2019 · $4.1M 
LOST PLANET® 3 2013 · $1.5M 
Röki 2020 · $1.5M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | SnowRunner | older | $29.99 | 46,343 90% | 1.4M | $42M (exactly $41,694,797) | Saber Interactive |
| | Steep™ | older | $29.99 | 30,589 82% | 918k | $28M (exactly $27,520,923) | Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ub… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev) |
| | Project Winter | older | $9.99 | 13,662 84% | 410k | $4.1M (exactly $4,094,501) | Other Ocean Interactive |
| | LOST PLANET® 3 | older | $24.99 | 2,008 64% | 60k | $1.5M (exactly $1,505,398) | Spark Unlimited |
| | Röki | older | $19.99 | 2,452 89% | 74k | $1.5M (exactly $1,470,464) | Polygon Treehouse |
 | Kona | older | $14.99 | 2,795 82% | 84k | $1.3M (exactly $1,256,912) | Parabole |
 | The Pale Beyond | older | $19.99 | 1,858 90% | 56k | $1.1M (exactly $1,114,243) | Saltstone Studios |
 | Chasing Tails ~A Promise in the Snow~ | older | $7.99 | 4,272 92% | 128k | $1.0M (exactly $1,023,998) | the last evil wizard, Nupu Neko Dev |
 | Fade to Silence | older | $29.99 | 1,032 62% | 31k | $928k (exactly $928,490) | Black Forest Games |
 | Lost Planet™: Extreme Condition | older | $14.99 | 1,878 80% | 56k | $845k (exactly $844,537) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. |
 | Lushfoil Photography Sim | $14.99 | 1,718 91% | 52k | $773k (exactly $772,585) | Matt2 | |
 | Sledding Game | · EA | $7.99 | 2,915 96% | 87k | $699k (exactly $698,726) | The Sledding Corporation |
 | OxyRail | · EA | $14.99 | 949 80% | 28k | $427k (exactly $426,765) | OxygenTech Limited |
 | Meltopia | $6.99 | 1,679 85% | 50k | $352k (exactly $352,086) | Garden of Dreams | |
 | Moomintroll: Winter's Warmth | $19.99 | 486 97% | 15k | $291k (exactly $291,454) | Hyper Games | |
 | Another Try 2 | · EA | $6.99 | 1,000 53% | 30k | $210k (exactly $209,700) | Hoki Wolf Studio |
 | Frozen Ship | · EA | $19.99 | 142 76% | 4.3k | $85k (exactly $85,157) | Nionetix |
 | The Pale Mimic | $7.99 | 345 86% | 10k | $83k (exactly $82,696) | Dark Snow Games | |
 | Ballex²: The Hanging Gardens | $14.99 | 179 95% | 5.4k | $80k (exactly $80,496) | Mushreb Games | |
 | Frost Survival VR | $14.99 | 161 89% | 4.8k | $72k (exactly $72,402) | Wenkly Studio Sp. z o.o. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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