Do I ship it?

GamesAdventureAdventure + Job Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Job Simulator Adventure game?

Adventure + Job Simulator

Of 40 developers who shipped a Job Simulator Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×13 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $3.6k. Revenue is up 450% on the market; 50 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 450% on the market, 50 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Adventure + Job Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $52k → $46k → $27k → $2.7k → $5.4k → $11k (still earning) → $190k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Adventure + Job Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $3.5k (exactly $3,510)
Median $6.3k (exactly $6,291)
Top 25% $46k (exactly $45,554)
Top 5% $889k (exactly $889,355)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 71
Announced 50
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 450% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Adventure
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Adventure, Job Simulator; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Immersive Sim
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 6,247 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.6k, median $6.3k, 1 in 4 over $45k, 1 in 20 over $880k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SamuraiFair13 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  2. + FMVFair144 devs · median $39k · 151 announced
  3. + PinballFair11 devs · median $8.1k · 17 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair165 devs · median $2.2k · 151 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 11 announced
  6. + SportsFair228 devs · median $1.5k · 224 announced
  7. + GolfFair18 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair384 devs · median $1.2k · 420 announced
  9. + Time AttackFair33 devs · median $599 · 33 announced
  10. + Traditional RoguelikeFair89 devs · median $449 · 119 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds10 devs · median $561k · 7 announced
  12. + WuxiaPoor odds21 devs · median $192k · 54 announced

All 279 pairs on the Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Firefighting Simulator - The Squad older $24.99 4,287 82% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,213,964) Chronos Unterhaltungssoftware
Loddlenaut older $19.99 3,832 98% 115k $2.3M (exactly $2,298,050) Moon Lagoon
Tavern Manager Simulator 🍻 older $14.99 4,018 91% 121k $1.8M (exactly $1,806,895) One More Time
Animal Shelter 2 $24.99 1,204 79% 36k $903k (exactly $902,639) Games Incubator
Bladesong · EA $19.99 1,483 95% 44k $889k (exactly $889,355) SUN AND SERPENT creations
The Last Gas Station $13.99 1,250 87% 38k $525k (exactly $524,625) Alawar
Anime Shop Simulator ✨ $14.99 589 73% 18k $265k (exactly $264,873) One More Time
Bear's Restaurant older $12.99 649 94% 19k $253k (exactly $252,915) Odencat
Wilmot's Warehouse older $14.99 526 96% 16k $237k (exactly $236,542) Hollow Ponds, Richard Hogg
Bus-Simulator 2012 older $6.99 986 43% 30k $207k (exactly $206,764) TML-Studios
Worming from Home $7.99 793 98% 24k $190k (exactly $190,082) Zach Northrop, Mason Sabharwal
Japanese Rural Life Adventure $24.99 238 80% 7.1k $178k (exactly $178,429) G-MODE, GAME START LLC
Map Map - A Game About Maps $14.99 264 91% 7.9k $119k (exactly $118,721) Pipapo Games
Letter Lost $19.99 156 82% 4.7k $94k (exactly $93,553) FlatNine Games
Woodo $16.99 118 99% 3.5k $60k (exactly $60,145) Tiny Monks Tales
Deadly Delivery $9.99 152 89% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,554) Flat Head Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.