Do I ship it?

Games › Action RPG › Action RPG + Wuxia

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Wuxia Action RPG?

Action RPG + Wuxia

Only 7 developers shipped a Wuxia Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Path of Kung Fu, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $200k, ×132 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×1465 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 132.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 28 announced, ×4.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Wuxia
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Action RPG + Wuxia: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $198k (exactly $198,318)
Top 25% $1.1M (exactly $1,104,226)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,194,536)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 29
Announced 28
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 500% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Wuxia
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $17.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 137,852 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $200k, 1 in 4 over $1.1M, 1 in 20 over $2.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  7. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  8. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  9. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  11. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds44 devs · median $23k · 78 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gujian3(古剑奇谭三) 2018 · $37M Wandering Sword 2023 · $28M Sword and Fairy 7 2021 · $14M Xuan-Yuan Sword VII 2020 · $8.9M Fate Seeker II 2021 · $7.7M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gujian3(古剑奇谭三) older $29.99 40,829 85% 1.2M $37M (exactly $36,733,851) 上海烛龙信息科技有限公司, Aurogon Shanghai
Wandering Sword older $24.99 37,034 94% 1.1M $28M (exactly $27,764,390) The Swordman Studio
Sword and Fairy 7 older $29.99 15,567 72% 467k $14M (exactly $14,005,630) 软星科技(SoftStarlight)
Xuan-Yuan Sword VII older $34.99 8,490 62% 255k $8.9M (exactly $8,911,953) SOFTSTAR, DOMO Studio
Fate Seeker II older $22.60 11,360 88% 341k $7.7M (exactly $7,702,080) JSL Entertainment
Fate Seeker older $21.09 11,930 90% 358k $7.5M (exactly $7,548,111) JSL Entertainment
Three Kingdoms Zhao Yun older $19.99 3,829 66% 115k $2.3M (exactly $2,296,251) ZUIJIANGYUE Game
Path of Kung Fu $14.99 4,880 72% 146k $2.2M (exactly $2,194,536) 游鲤化龙工作室
JIANGHU CHRONICLES $17.99 2,046 70% 61k $1.1M (exactly $1,104,226) 一品阁
Jade Empire™: Special Edition older $14.99 1,887 76% 57k $849k (exactly $848,584) BioWare
侠影录 $14.99 1,065 75% 32k $479k (exactly $478,930) 朽木工作室
Soul's Chronicle: Immortal Slayer $14.99 441 77% 13k $198k (exactly $198,318) 正向星光工作室
仙门守护者 $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) 程序员小灰
江湖奇侠录 $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) 陕西启娱软件有限公司
Mystic Ring Cultivation: Blossom Fate $0.99 9 88% 270 $267 (exactly $267) FunPlaceGame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.