Games › Action RPG › Action RPG + Conspiracy
Should I ship a Conspiracy Action RPG?
Action RPG + Conspiracy
Only 15 developers shipped a Conspiracy Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Trails in the Sky 1st Chapter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×7.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 57 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.1 per shipper, while revenue is up 50% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $598 (exactly $598) |
| Top 25% | $56k (exactly $55,688) |
| Top 5% | $8.4M (exactly $8,368,605) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 57 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Action RPG
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Conspiracy
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Action RPG; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Dark
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 7,455 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Action RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + NavalFair
- + Local Co-OpFair
- + WesternFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + WuxiaPoor odds
- + Character Action GamePoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Bullet HeavenPoor odds
Comparable games
Lost Judgment 2022 · $9.0M 
Trails in the Sky 1st Chapter 2025 · $8.4M 
Deus Ex: Game of the Year Edition 2007 · $2.9M 
LIZARDS MUST DIE 2 2025 · $669k 
Disney•Pixar Cars 2: The Video Game 2014 · $582k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Lost Judgment | older | $39.99 | 7,461 93% | 224k | $9.0M (exactly $8,950,962) | RGG Studio |
| | Trails in the Sky 1st Chapter | $59.99 | 4,650 95% | 140k | $8.4M (exactly $8,368,605) | Nihon Falcom | |
| | Deus Ex: Game of the Year Edition | older | $6.99 | 13,740 94% | 412k | $2.9M (exactly $2,881,278) | Ion Storm |
| | LIZARDS MUST DIE 2 | $9.99 | 2,232 94% | 67k | $669k (exactly $668,930) | the Bratans, Smola Game Studio | |
| | Disney•Pixar Cars 2: The Video Game | older | $19.99 | 970 79% | 29k | $582k (exactly $581,709) | Avalanche Software |
 | Deus Ex: Invisible War | older | $6.99 | 2,199 57% | 66k | $461k (exactly $461,130) | Ion Storm |
 | Gaia Beyond | older | $14.99 | 240 73% | 7.2k | $108k (exactly $107,928) | Warp Turtle |
 | Troublemaker 2: Beyond Dream | $24.99 | 142 95% | 4.3k | $106k (exactly $106,457) | Gamecom Team | |
 | Winter Ember | older | $29.99 | 82 58% | 2.5k | $74k (exactly $73,775) | Sky Machine Studios |
 | Disjunction | older | $15.99 | 133 72% | 4.0k | $64k (exactly $63,800) | Ape Tribe Games |
 | Gnomes and Knights | $4.99 | 372 77% | 11k | $56k (exactly $55,688) | Terletski Games | |
 | Cyberscape | $14.99 | 43 93% | 1.3k | $19k (exactly $19,337) | AtomicTorch Studio | |
 | Gisselle's Adventure | $7.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Serch Onodera | |
 | Prison Glow | $5.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $719 (exactly $719) | KromiXX | |
 | The World Ends in Ohio | $3.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | PDS Games | |
 | Junkyard Universe | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | Sarah Dressel | |
 | Fracas | $5.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | Rookbird Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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