Do I ship it?

GamesMOBAMOBA + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike MOBA?

MOBA + Action Roguelike

Only 5 developers shipped an Action Roguelike MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shape of Dreams, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.1k against a market of $1.3k. 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 14 announced, ×4.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MOBA + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $225 (exactly $225)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 25% $137k (exactly $137,405)
Top 5% $12M (exactly $11,822,019)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 28
Announced 14
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA, Action Roguelike
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 16,333 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $230, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $11M.

3 in 10 developers made under $230. 5 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 44 announced
  3. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds19 devs · median $600 · 57 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  12. + SurvivalDead6 devs · median $31k · 22 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shape of Dreams $24.99 15,769 89% 473k $12M (exactly $11,822,019) Lizard Smoothie
WAR RATS: The Rat em Up $11.99 382 95% 11k $137k (exactly $137,405) wootusart Industries
VOIDCRISIS older $29.99 122 54% 3.7k $110k (exactly $109,763) HEXADRIVE Inc.
WizardPunk older $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) City Wizard Games
Luna & Sol: Nightmare Ward $7.99 13 76% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) PLAY Mephistowaltz
Elemental World older $6.99 14 85% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) SoulGlen Games
Dream Fight Will older $7.99 10 90% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) 张亮002
Roguenarok older $4.99 7 71% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Fishbump Games
修真元界 XiuZhen Metaverse · EA older $5.99 4 50% 120 $719 (exactly $719) 个人独立开发
Stellar Stars older $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) WhiteSponge
FastMoBa $2.50 3 100% 90 $225 (exactly $225) Nguyen Thanh Chinh
Capsule Carnage: Don't Press That $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Gold Capsule

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.