Do I ship it?

GamesFlightFlight + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike Flight game?

Flight + Action Roguelike

Of 31 developers who shipped an Action Roguelike Flight game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×298 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 67 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 67 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $119 → $628 → $1.5k → $899 → $2.4k → $299 → $269 (still earning) → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Flight + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $6.6k (exactly $6,597)
Top 5% $187k (exactly $186,940)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 86
Announced 67
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight, Action Roguelike; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Arcade
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,735 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $6.5k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
EVERSPACE™ older $19.99 9,809 77% 294k $5.9M (exactly $5,882,457) ROCKFISH Games
Sky Rogue older $19.99 1,059 92% 32k $635k (exactly $635,082) Fractal Phase
Whisker Squadron: Survivor $19.99 485 77% 15k $291k (exactly $290,854) Flippfly LLC
Metal Thunder · EA $10.99 567 76% 17k $187k (exactly $186,940) Dumbbell Games
TOP DOG $9.99 263 88% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,821) MorfeoDev
Airships: Lost Flotilla $8.99 290 92% 8.7k $78k (exactly $78,213) David Stark
Godrop older $8.99 269 93% 8.1k $73k (exactly $72,549) KATOR Game Studio, ZeroCastle game Stud… (KATOR Game Studio, ZeroCastle game Studio)
Raiden NOVA | 雷電NOVA | 雷電新星 $29.99 66 72% 2.0k $59k (exactly $59,380) MOSS Co., Ltd.
AIRHEART - Tales of broken Wings older $14.99 128 81% 3.8k $58k (exactly $57,562) Blindflug Studios AG
Switchcars older $8.99 164 90% 4.9k $44k (exactly $44,231) Altfuture
Tutien Path $14.99 16 81% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Truong Thanh Triet
Wrath and Retribution $9.99 23 91% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Mad Vulture Games
Cosmo Tales · EA $19.99 11 81% 330 $6.6k (exactly $6,597) Bohemia Interactive
WARHEAD CIRCUS(ウォーヘッド サーカス) $8.99 10 70% 300 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Dig Up Indie
One Million Stars $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Tom Sennett Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.